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La Liga

Referee: Carlos Del Cerro Grande

Valencia

U S T U S

3–0

Full-time

Villarreal

U U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valencia Villarreal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,5

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 92%

100%

83%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

1,3

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,3

This season — La Liga · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 20%

25%

15%

Points per game

1,3

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

25%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

55%

60%

Average goals

1,9

2,4

Scored

1,0

1,1

Conceded

0,9

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%

18 Shots 14

9 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 7

5 Goalkeeper saves 6

7 Corners 4

2 Offside 3

13 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Valencia 9. · Villarreal 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	20	14	4	2	+35	46
2	Ath Madrid	21	12	8	1	+19	44
3	Sevilla	21	10	6	5	+14	36
4	Real Madrid	20	11	3	6	+6	36
5	Alaves	20	9	5	6	-1	32
6	Getafe	21	8	7	6	+7	31
7	Betis	20	8	5	7	+0	29
8	Sociedad	20	7	5	8	+1	26
9	Valencia	20	5	11	4	+1	26
10	Eibar	21	6	8	7	-4	26
11	Levante	21	7	5	9	-8	26
12	Girona	20	5	9	6	-3	24
13	Espanol	20	7	3	10	-9	24
14	Ath Bilbao	20	4	11	5	-5	23
15	Leganes	21	5	8	8	-6	23
16	Valladolid	20	5	7	8	-6	22
17	Celta	20	5	6	9	-2	21
18	Vallecano	20	5	5	10	-12	20
19	Villarreal	20	3	9	8	-5	18
20	Huesca	20	2	5	13	-22	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	11	9	2	0	+15	29
2	Barcelona	11	8	2	1	+23	26
3	Sevilla	10	7	2	1	+12	23
4	Real Madrid	10	7	1	2	+10	22
5	Eibar	11	5	4	2	+6	19
6	Alaves	9	5	4	0	+5	19
7	Betis	11	5	3	3	+1	18
8	Espanol	9	6	0	3	+0	18
9	Leganes	10	4	5	1	+3	17
10	Getafe	10	5	1	4	+7	16
11	Ath Bilbao	10	3	5	2	-1	14
12	Levante	10	4	2	4	-4	14
13	Celta	11	3	4	4	+3	13
14	Valencia	10	2	7	1	+3	13
15	Vallecano	11	3	4	4	-5	13
16	Girona	10	2	5	3	-3	11
17	Sociedad	9	2	3	4	-2	9
18	Villarreal	11	1	5	5	-4	8
19	Valladolid	9	2	2	5	-4	8
20	Huesca	10	1	4	5	-7	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	9	6	2	1	+12	20
2	Sociedad	11	5	2	4	+3	17
3	Ath Madrid	10	3	6	1	+4	15
4	Getafe	11	3	6	2	+0	15
5	Valladolid	11	3	5	3	-2	14
6	Real Madrid	10	4	2	4	-4	14
7	Sevilla	11	3	4	4	+2	13
8	Girona	10	3	4	3	+0	13
9	Valencia	10	3	4	3	-2	13
10	Alaves	11	4	1	6	-6	13
11	Levante	11	3	3	5	-4	12
12	Betis	9	3	2	4	-1	11
13	Villarreal	9	2	4	3	-1	10
14	Ath Bilbao	10	1	6	3	-4	9
15	Celta	9	2	2	5	-5	8
16	Vallecano	9	2	1	6	-7	7
17	Eibar	10	1	4	5	-10	7
18	Espanol	11	1	3	7	-9	6
19	Leganes	11	1	3	7	-9	6
20	Huesca	10	1	1	8	-15	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.