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La Liga

Referee: Javier Estrada Fernandez

Alaves

S T T U T

2–2

Full-time

Valladolid

S U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alaves Valladolid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,8

This season — La Liga · 32/32 matches

Win Ø 30%

38%

22%

Points per game

1,4

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 41%

47%

34%

Both score Ø 47%

50%

44%

Average goals

2,3

2,2

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

1,3

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,6

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

46% Possession 54%

10 Shots 12

4 Shots on target 7

1 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 7

1 Offside 1

17 Free kicks against 16

3 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Alaves 8. · Valladolid 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	32	22	8	2	+50	74
2	Ath Madrid	32	19	8	5	+26	65
3	Real Madrid	32	19	4	9	+18	61
4	Sevilla	32	15	7	10	+15	52
5	Getafe	32	13	12	7	+11	51
6	Valencia	32	11	16	5	+9	49
7	Ath Bilbao	32	11	13	8	-1	46
8	Alaves	32	12	9	11	-7	45
9	Betis	32	12	7	13	-5	43
10	Sociedad	32	10	11	11	-1	41
11	Leganes	32	10	11	11	-4	41
12	Espanol	32	11	8	13	-9	41
13	Eibar	32	9	13	10	-2	40
14	Girona	32	8	10	14	-11	34
15	Villarreal	32	7	12	13	-5	33
16	Levante	32	8	9	15	-14	33
17	Celta	32	8	8	16	-10	32
18	Valladolid	32	7	10	15	-19	31
19	Vallecano	32	7	6	19	-21	27
20	Huesca	32	5	10	17	-20	25

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	16	13	2	1	+20	41
2	Barcelona	16	12	3	1	+30	39
3	Real Madrid	16	11	1	4	+15	34
4	Sevilla	16	10	3	3	+15	33
5	Ath Bilbao	17	8	7	2	+5	31
6	Eibar	16	8	5	3	+10	29
7	Espanol	16	9	2	5	+1	29
8	Valencia	17	6	10	1	+11	28
9	Getafe	15	9	1	5	+10	28
10	Leganes	16	7	7	2	+6	28
11	Alaves	15	6	7	2	+2	25
12	Betis	16	7	4	5	-1	25
13	Celta	16	6	4	6	+3	22
14	Sociedad	16	5	6	5	+1	21
15	Vallecano	16	4	5	7	-7	17
16	Levante	15	4	5	6	-7	17
17	Villarreal	16	3	7	6	+0	16
18	Huesca	16	3	6	7	-5	15
19	Valladolid	16	3	5	8	-10	14
20	Girona	17	2	6	9	-11	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	16	10	5	1	+20	35
2	Real Madrid	16	8	3	5	+3	27
3	Ath Madrid	16	6	6	4	+6	24
4	Getafe	17	4	11	2	+1	23
5	Girona	15	6	4	5	+0	22
6	Valencia	15	5	6	4	-2	21
7	Sociedad	16	5	5	6	-2	20
8	Alaves	17	6	2	9	-9	20
9	Sevilla	16	5	4	7	+0	19
10	Betis	16	5	3	8	-4	18
11	Villarreal	16	4	5	7	-5	17
12	Valladolid	16	4	5	7	-9	17
13	Levante	17	4	4	9	-7	16
14	Ath Bilbao	15	3	6	6	-6	15
15	Leganes	16	3	4	9	-10	13
16	Espanol	16	2	6	8	-10	12
17	Eibar	16	1	8	7	-12	11
18	Celta	16	2	4	10	-13	10
19	Vallecano	16	3	1	12	-14	10
20	Huesca	16	2	4	10	-15	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.