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La Liga

Referee: Alberto Undiano

Celta

U T T S U

2–4

Full-time

Real Madrid

U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celta Real Madrid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,0

2,5

Scored

1,7

0,7

Conceded

1,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-1,2

This season — La Liga · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 36%

27%

45%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

55%

45%

Both score Ø 59%

73%

45%

Average goals

3,3

2,7

Scored

1,8

1,5

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

51% Possession 49%

16 Shots 14

4 Shots on target 5

7 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 1

5 Offside 2

19 Free kicks against 13

4 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Celta 14. · Real Madrid 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	12	7	3	2	+16	24
2	Sevilla	12	7	2	3	+10	23
3	Ath Madrid	12	6	5	1	+8	23
4	Alaves	12	7	2	3	+5	23
5	Espanol	12	6	3	3	+6	21
6	Real Madrid	11	5	2	4	+2	17
7	Valladolid	12	4	5	3	+0	17
8	Levante	12	5	2	5	-1	17
9	Girona	12	4	5	3	-1	17
10	Sociedad	12	4	4	4	+1	16
11	Getafe	12	4	4	4	+1	16
12	Betis	12	4	4	4	-3	16
13	Eibar	12	4	3	5	-6	15
14	Celta	11	3	5	3	+4	14
15	Valencia	12	2	8	2	-1	14
16	Villarreal	12	2	5	5	-2	11
17	Ath Bilbao	12	1	7	4	-6	10
18	Leganes	12	2	4	6	-7	10
19	Vallecano	12	1	4	7	-11	7
20	Huesca	12	1	3	8	-15	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	6	5	1	0	+8	16
2	Espanol	5	5	0	0	+7	15
3	Barcelona	7	4	2	1	+14	14
4	Alaves	6	4	2	0	+4	14
5	Real Madrid	6	4	1	1	+7	13
6	Sevilla	6	4	1	1	+4	13
7	Eibar	6	3	1	2	+0	10
8	Celta	6	2	3	1	+5	9
9	Leganes	5	2	2	1	+1	8
10	Valladolid	6	2	2	2	+0	8
11	Betis	6	2	2	2	-2	8
12	Girona	7	2	2	3	-3	8
13	Getafe	6	2	1	3	+0	7
14	Levante	6	2	1	3	-4	7
15	Ath Bilbao	6	1	3	2	-4	6
16	Valencia	6	0	5	1	-1	5
17	Sociedad	5	0	3	2	-2	3
18	Villarreal	6	0	3	3	-3	3
19	Vallecano	7	0	3	4	-9	3
20	Huesca	5	0	2	3	-4	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sociedad	7	4	1	2	+3	13
2	Sevilla	6	3	1	2	+6	10
3	Levante	6	3	1	2	+3	10
4	Barcelona	5	3	1	1	+2	10
5	Girona	5	2	3	0	+2	9
6	Alaves	6	3	0	3	+1	9
7	Getafe	6	2	3	1	+1	9
8	Valladolid	6	2	3	1	+0	9
9	Valencia	6	2	3	1	+0	9
10	Villarreal	6	2	2	2	+1	8
11	Betis	6	2	2	2	-1	8
12	Ath Madrid	6	1	4	1	+0	7
13	Espanol	7	1	3	3	-1	6
14	Celta	5	1	2	2	-1	5
15	Eibar	6	1	2	3	-6	5
16	Ath Bilbao	6	0	4	2	-2	4
17	Vallecano	5	1	1	3	-2	4
18	Real Madrid	5	1	1	3	-5	4
19	Huesca	7	1	1	5	-11	4
20	Leganes	7	0	2	5	-8	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.