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Bundesliga

Referee: Markus Schmidt

M'gladbach

S S T U T

3–1

Full-time

Hamburg

T S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

M'gladbach Hamburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,8

2,0

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,3

This season — Bundesliga · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 35%

44%

25%

Points per game

1,6

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

56%

50%

Both score Ø 47%

63%

31%

Average goals

3,2

2,3

Scored

1,5

0,9

Conceded

1,7

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%

13 Shots 8

5 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

9 Corners 4

0 Offside 2

7 Free kicks against 16

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match M'gladbach 8. · Hamburg 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	16	12	2	2	+25	38
2	Schalke 04	16	8	5	3	+7	29
3	RB Leipzig	16	8	4	4	+3	28
4	Leverkusen	16	7	6	3	+11	27
5	Hoffenheim	16	7	5	4	+6	26
6	Dortmund	16	7	4	5	+14	25
7	Ein Frankfurt	16	7	4	5	+2	25
8	M'gladbach	16	7	4	5	-3	25
9	Augsburg	16	6	5	5	+4	23
10	Hannover	16	6	4	6	-2	22
11	Hertha	16	5	6	5	+0	21
12	Wolfsburg	16	3	10	3	+1	19
13	Freiburg	16	4	6	6	-14	18
14	Stuttgart	16	5	2	9	-7	17
15	Mainz	16	4	4	8	-9	16
16	Hamburg	16	4	3	9	-8	15
17	Werder Bremen	16	3	5	8	-7	14
18	FC Koln	16	0	3	13	-23	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	8	7	1	0	+19	22
2	Hoffenheim	9	5	3	1	+8	18
3	Schalke 04	9	5	3	1	+6	18
4	RB Leipzig	7	5	2	0	+8	17
5	Leverkusen	8	4	4	0	+9	16
6	Stuttgart	7	5	1	1	+5	16
7	Hannover	7	4	2	1	+6	14
8	Freiburg	9	3	5	1	+2	14
9	Hertha	9	4	2	3	+1	14
10	M'gladbach	8	4	2	2	+0	14
11	Mainz	9	4	1	4	-1	13
12	Augsburg	8	3	3	2	+3	12
13	Wolfsburg	9	2	6	1	+2	12
14	Hamburg	9	3	2	4	-1	11
15	Dortmund	7	3	1	3	+8	10
16	Ein Frankfurt	7	2	1	4	-2	7
17	Werder Bremen	7	2	1	4	-3	7
18	FC Koln	7	0	1	6	-10	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ein Frankfurt	9	5	3	1	+4	18
2	Bayern Munich	8	5	1	2	+6	16
3	Dortmund	9	4	3	2	+6	15
4	Leverkusen	8	3	2	3	+2	11
5	Augsburg	8	3	2	3	+1	11
6	Schalke 04	7	3	2	2	+1	11
7	M'gladbach	8	3	2	3	-3	11
8	RB Leipzig	9	3	2	4	-5	11
9	Hoffenheim	7	2	2	3	-2	8
10	Hannover	9	2	2	5	-8	8
11	Hertha	7	1	4	2	-1	7
12	Wolfsburg	7	1	4	2	-1	7
13	Werder Bremen	9	1	4	4	-4	7
14	Hamburg	7	1	1	5	-7	4
15	Freiburg	7	1	1	5	-16	4
16	Mainz	7	0	3	4	-8	3
17	FC Koln	9	0	2	7	-13	2
18	Stuttgart	9	0	1	8	-12	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.