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Bundesliga
Referee: Wolfgang Stark
M'gladbach
T S U S T
0–0
Full-time
Hamburg
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

M'gladbach Hamburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,7
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,3
Scored
1,7
0,3
Conceded
1,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,7
This season — Bundesliga · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,7
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,3
Scored
1,7
0,3
Conceded
1,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

76% Possession 24%
22 Shots 5
4 Shots on target 0
8 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
10 Corners 3
5 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match M'gladbach 9. · Hamburg 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 6 5 1 0 +14 16
2 Hertha 7 4 2 1 +4 14
3 Dortmund 7 4 1 2 +10 13
4 FC Koln 6 3 3 0 +7 12
5 RB Leipzig 6 3 3 0 +6 12
6 Leverkusen 6 3 1 2 +3 10
7 Hoffenheim 6 2 4 0 +2 10
8 Ein Frankfurt 6 3 1 2 +2 10
9 M'gladbach 6 3 1 2 +0 10
10 Freiburg 6 3 0 3 -2 9
11 Mainz 6 2 2 2 +1 8
12 Augsburg 6 2 1 3 -3 7
13 Wolfsburg 6 1 3 2 -3 6
14 Darmstadt 6 1 2 3 -8 5
15 Werder Bremen 6 1 1 4 -10 4
16 Schalke 04 6 1 0 5 -4 3
17 FC Ingolstadt 04 6 0 1 5 -9 1
18 Hamburg 6 0 1 5 -10 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

M'gladbach Hamburg
25′
🟥 Cléber Reis
39′
🟨 Pierre-Michel Lasogga
Lars Stindl 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–0
I. Traoré 🔁
↦ P. Herrmann
46′
Christoph Kramer 🟨
47′
48′
🟨 Emir Spahić
61′
🟨 Dennis Diekmeier
63′
🔁 G. Sakai
↦ P. Lasogga
69′
🟨 Filip Kostić
74′
🔁 B. Wood
↦ F. Kostić
80′
🔁 G. Jung
↦ A. Hunt
J. Hofmann 🔁
↦ M. Dahoud
85′
J. Vestergaard 🔁
↦ F. Johnson
87′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

M'gladbach

3-4-1-2
1 Y. Sommer G
17 O. Wendt D
3 A. Christensen D
30 N. Elvedi D
19 F. Johnson M
13 L. Stindl F
28 A. Hahn F
7 P. Herrmann M
27 J. Korb M
6 C. Kramer M
8 M. Dahoud M
Bench (7)
16 I. Traoré
23 J. Hofmann
4 J. Vestergaard
5 T. Strobl
14 N. Schulz
21 T. Sippel
24 T. Jantschke

Coach: A. Schubert

Hamburg

4-2-3-1
1 R. Adler
4 E. Spahić D
2 D. Diekmeier D
3 Cleber Reis D
6 Douglas Santos D
14 A. Hunt M
20 A. Ekdal M
27 N. Müller M
8 L. Holtby M
17 F. Kostić M
10 P. Lasogga F
Bench (7)
24 G. Sakai
7 B. Wood
28 G. Jung
15 L. Waldschmidt
22 M. Ostrzolek
23 A. Halilović
31 C. Mathenia

Coach: M. Gisdol

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Wolfgang Stark · 35 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
13,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.