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DFB-Pokal

Referee: F Badstübner

Union Berlin

T S S S S

2–0

Full-time

Heidenheim

U U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Union Berlin Heidenheim

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,5

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

1,5

2,3

Scored

1,2

Conceded

0,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,0

This season — DFB-Pokal · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

3,0

2,0

Scored

2,0

Conceded

1,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

59% Possession 41%

19 Shots 7

8 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

8 Corners 5

1 Offside 3

8 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Union Berlin 23. · Heidenheim 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	2	2	0	0	+12	6
2	Hoffenheim	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Mainz	2	2	0	0	+6	6
4	Ein Frankfurt	2	2	0	0	+6	6
5	Dortmund	2	2	0	0	+5	6
6	Darmstadt	2	2	0	0	+4	6
7	Bochum	2	2	0	0	+4	6
8	Nurnberg	2	2	0	0	+3	6
9	Freiburg	2	2	0	0	+2	6
10	Wolfsburg	2	2	0	0	+2	6
11	Paderborn	2	1	1	0	+10	4
12	Karlsruhe	2	1	1	0	+8	4
13	Sandhausen	2	1	1	0	+4	4
14	Werder Bremen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
15	M'gladbach	2	1	0	1	+7	3
16	Bielefeld	1	1	0	0	+6	3
17	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+5	3
18	Augsburg	1	1	0	0	+4	3
19	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	Heidenheim	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Schalke 04	2	1	0	1	+1	3
22	Hannover	2	1	0	1	+1	3
23	Union Berlin	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	St Pauli	2	1	0	1	+0	3
26	Elversberg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
27	Stuttgarter Kickers	2	1	0	1	+0	3
28	Hamburg	2	1	0	1	-2	3
29	VfB Lubeck	2	1	0	1	-2	3
30	Hertha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Regensburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	FC Koln	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Holstein Kiel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Braunschweig	2	0	1	1	-1	1
35	Waldhof Mannheim	2	0	1	1	-1	1
36	Straelen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Leverkusen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Kaiserslautern	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Cottbus	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Chemnitzer FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Dresden	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Hansa Rostock	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Carl Zeiss Jena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Bayreuth	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	Kaan-Marienborn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	Illertissen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	Greuther Furth	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	SV Rodinghausen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Kickers Offenbach	1	0	0	1	-3	0
50	TSV 1860 Munich	1	0	0	1	-3	0
51	Viktoria Berlin	1	0	0	1	-3	0
52	Schott Mainz	1	0	0	1	-3	0
53	Erzgebirge Aue	1	0	0	1	-3	0
54	FC Ingolstadt 04	1	0	0	1	-3	0
55	Schwarz-Weiß Rehden	1	0	0	1	-4	0
56	BW Lohne	1	0	0	1	-4	0
57	Magdeburg	1	0	0	1	-4	0
58	Bremer Sv	1	0	0	1	-5	0
59	FC Viktoria Koln	1	0	0	1	-5	0
60	FV Engers 07	1	0	0	1	-6	0
61	Oberachern	1	0	0	1	-8	0
62	Neustrelitz	1	0	0	1	-8	0
63	Teutonia Ottensen	1	0	0	1	-8	0
64	Einheit Wernigerode	1	0	0	1	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	RB Leipzig	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Darmstadt	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Elversberg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
6	Stuttgarter Kickers	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	VfB Lubeck	2	1	0	1	-2	3
8	Regensburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Paderborn	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Sandhausen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Braunschweig	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Waldhof Mannheim	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Straelen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Kaiserslautern	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Cottbus	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Chemnitzer FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Dresden	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Carl Zeiss Jena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Bayreuth	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Kaan-Marienborn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
21	Illertissen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
22	SV Rodinghausen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
23	Hannover	1	0	0	1	-2	0
24	Kickers Offenbach	1	0	0	1	-3	0
25	TSV 1860 Munich	1	0	0	1	-3	0
26	Viktoria Berlin	1	0	0	1	-3	0
27	Schott Mainz	1	0	0	1	-3	0
28	Erzgebirge Aue	1	0	0	1	-3	0
29	FC Ingolstadt 04	1	0	0	1	-3	0
30	Schwarz-Weiß Rehden	1	0	0	1	-4	0
31	BW Lohne	1	0	0	1	-4	0
32	Magdeburg	1	0	0	1	-4	0
33	Bremer Sv	1	0	0	1	-5	0
34	FC Viktoria Koln	1	0	0	1	-5	0
35	FV Engers 07	1	0	0	1	-6	0
36	Oberachern	1	0	0	1	-8	0
37	Neustrelitz	1	0	0	1	-8	0
38	Teutonia Ottensen	1	0	0	1	-8	0
39	Einheit Wernigerode	1	0	0	1	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Mainz	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Ein Frankfurt	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Dortmund	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Bochum	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Nurnberg	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Wolfsburg	2	2	0	0	+2	6
7	Karlsruhe	2	1	1	0	+8	4
8	Werder Bremen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Paderborn	1	1	0	0	+10	3
10	RB Leipzig	1	1	0	0	+8	3
11	M'gladbach	2	1	0	1	+7	3
12	Bielefeld	1	1	0	0	+6	3
13	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+5	3
14	Sandhausen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
15	Augsburg	1	1	0	0	+4	3
16	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	Hannover	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	Darmstadt	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	Heidenheim	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Schalke 04	2	1	0	1	+1	3
22	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Union Berlin	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	St Pauli	2	1	0	1	+0	3
26	Hamburg	2	1	0	1	-2	3
27	Hertha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	FC Koln	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Holstein Kiel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Leverkusen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Hansa Rostock	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Greuther Furth	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.