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Bundesliga
Referee: F Zwayer
Ein Frankfurt
S S T S S
4–2
Full-time
Hoffenheim
S S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ein Frankfurt Hoffenheim
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,3
Scored
2,0
1,8
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,3
This season — Bundesliga · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 46%
54%
38%
Points per game
1,8
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
69%
54%
Both score Ø 62%
69%
54%
Average goals
3,7
2,7
Scored
2,1
1,5
Conceded
1,6
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

52% Possession 48%
15 Shots 12
8 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 5
2 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 22
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ein Frankfurt 5. · Hoffenheim 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 14 9 4 1 +34 31
2 Freiburg 13 8 3 2 +7 27
3 Union Berlin 13 8 2 3 +7 26
4 Dortmund 14 8 1 5 +6 25
5 Ein Frankfurt 13 7 2 4 +6 23
6 RB Leipzig 13 6 4 3 +6 22
7 Werder Bremen 14 6 3 5 -1 21
8 Wolfsburg 14 5 5 4 +3 20
9 M'gladbach 14 5 4 5 +2 19
10 Hoffenheim 13 5 3 5 +3 18
11 Mainz 13 5 3 5 -4 18
12 FC Koln 14 4 5 5 -6 17
13 Leverkusen 14 4 3 7 -3 15
14 Stuttgart 14 3 5 6 -7 14
15 Augsburg 13 4 2 7 -7 14
16 Hertha 14 2 5 7 -5 11
17 Bochum 14 3 1 10 -23 10
18 Schalke 04 13 1 3 9 -18 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ein Frankfurt Hoffenheim
1–0 D. Sow
D. Kamada
6′
2–0 R. Kolo Muani
8′
3–0 E. Ebimbe
R. Kolo Muani
29′
37′
C. Baumgartner 3–1
O. Kabak
Half-time 3–1
46′
🔁 K. Akpoguma
↦ Eduardo Quaresma
46′
🔁 R. Skov
↦ P. Kadeřábek
46′
🔁 A. Stiller
↦ M. Damar
46′
O. Kabak 3–2
4–2 J. Lindstrøm
R. Kolo Muani
56′
H. Smolčić 🔁
↦ K. Jakić
64′
77′
🔁 F. Asllani
↦ G. Rutter
78′
🟨 Kevin Vogt
80′
🟨 Christoph Baumgartner
L. Pellegrini 🔁
↦ A. Knauff
81′
R. Borré 🔁
↦ J. Lindstrøm
81′
86′
🟨 Dennis Geiger
L. Alario 🔁
↦ R. Kolo Muani
90′
A. Touré 🔁
↦ E. Ebimbe
90′
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Ein Frankfurt

3-4-2-1
1 K. Trapp G
35 Tuta D
6 K. Jakić D
2 E. Ndicka D
26 E. Ebimbe M
15 D. Kamada M
8 D. Sow M
36 A. Knauff M
29 J. Lindstrøm F
27 M. Götze F
9 R. Kolo Muani F
Bench (9)
5 H. Smolčić
33 L. Pellegrini
19 R. Borré
21 L. Alario
18 A. Touré
11 F. Alidou
40 D. Ramaj
22 T. Chandler
28 M. Wenig

Coach: O. Glasner

Hoffenheim

3-5-2
1 O. Baumann G
26 Eduardo Quaresma D
22 K. Vogt D
5 O. Kabak D
3 P. Kadeřábek M
35 M. Damar M
8 D. Geiger M
27 A. Kramarić M
11 Angeliño M
33 G. Rutter F
14 C. Baumgartner F
Bench (9)
25 K. Akpoguma
29 R. Skov
13 A. Stiller
44 F. Asllani
36 N. Noll
20 F. Becker
34 S. Nsoki
7 J. Bruun Larsen
16 S. Rudy

Coach: A. Breitenreiter

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,93
U
3,85
B
3,78
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,59
U2,5
2,38
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Zwayer · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.