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DFB-Pokal
Referee: M Petersen
Wurzburger Kickers
T U T S U
2–2
Full-time
Hoffenheim
S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wurzburger Kickers Hoffenheim
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,5
5,2
Scored
1,2
3,0
Conceded
2,3
2,2
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

30% Possession 70%
11 Shots 20
4 Shots on target 11
3 Blocked shots 4
10 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 6
2 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Wurzburger Kickers Hoffenheim
1–0 E. Küç ⚽
11′
18′
⚽ E. Farahnak 2–0
own goal
Half-time 2–0
Alem Japaur 🟨
48′
62′
🔁 M. Moerstedt
↦ A. Prass
62′
🔁 D. Geiger
↦ G. Prömel
78′
🔁 F. Micheler
↦ F. Grillitsch
78′
🔁 M. Berisha
↦ J. Bruun Larsen
M. Uhl 🔁
↦ B. Junge-Abiol
79′
80′
🟨 Max Moerstedt
M. Fesser 🔁
↦ E. Küç
82′
3–0 M. Hannemann ⚽
A. Japaur
100′
Moritz Hannemann 🟨
102′
104′
🔁 J. Justvan
↦ T. Drexler
107′
⚽ M. Bülter 3–1
F. Baca 🔁
↦ T. Kraus
112′
121′
⚽ A. Kramarić 3–2
F. Wessig 🔁
↦ F. Montcheu
122′
4–2 M. Hannemann ⚽
122′
123′
⚽ M. Berisha 4–3
5–3 F. Wessig ⚽
124′
125′
⚽ M. Bülter 5–4
D. Meisel ❌
penalty missed
126′
127′
⚽ A. Stach 5–5
6–5 M. Zaiser ⚽
128′
129′
⚽ J. Justvan 6–6
Full-time 6–6

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Petersen · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.