Bundesliga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Ein Frankfurt
Dortmund
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayern Munich
|
9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +18 | 22 |
| 2 |
RB Leipzig
|
9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +12 | 20 |
| 3 |
Leverkusen
|
9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | +7 | 19 |
| 4 |
Dortmund
|
9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | +12 | 18 |
| 5 |
Wolfsburg
|
9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | +6 | 17 |
| 6 |
Union Berlin
|
10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +8 | 16 |
| 7 |
M'gladbach
|
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 15 |
| 8 |
Augsburg
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| 9 |
Ein Frankfurt
|
9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | -2 | 12 |
| 10 |
Stuttgart
|
9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +2 | 11 |
| 11 |
Hertha
|
10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 11 |
| 12 |
Werder Bremen
|
9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | -2 | 11 |
| 13 |
Hoffenheim
|
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 |
Freiburg
|
9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -10 | 7 |
| 15 |
FC Koln
|
9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 6 |
| 16 |
Mainz
|
9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 5 |
| 17 |
Bielefeld
|
9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -13 | 4 |
| 18 |
Schalke 04
|
9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -22 | 3 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
K. Trapp
G
O. N'Dicka
D
F. Kostić
M
D. Sow
M
D. Kamada
F
André Silva
F
Coach: A. Hütter
Mateu Morey
M
A. Witsel
M
J. Brandt
F
G. Reyna
F
Coach: L. Favre
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Union Berlin
Ein Frankfurt
Ein Frankfurt
RB Leipzig
Stuttgart
Ein Frankfurt
Ein Frankfurt
Werder Bremen
Bayern Munich
Ein Frankfurt
G Winkmann · 25 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.