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Champions League
Referee: S Jovanović
Dortmund
T S T S U
1–1
Full-time
Sevilla
U U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dortmund Sevilla
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,5
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,7
This season — Champions League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,7
3,0
Scored
2,7
0,3
Conceded
1,0
2,7
Goal diff per game
+1,7
-2,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

52% Possession 48%
7 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 2
0 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

5. Oct -22 Sevilla – Dortmund 1–4

Match report

Dortmund Sevilla
18′
⚽ T. Nianzou 0–1
I. Rakitić
1–1 J. Bellingham ⚽
T. Meunier
35′
Half-time 1–1
Raphaël Guerreiro 🔁
↦ T. Rothe
46′
59′
🔁 A. Januzaj
↦ Suso
59′
🔁 Isco
↦ Y. En-Nesyri
Y. Moukoko 🔁
↦ A. Modeste
64′
T. Hazard 🔁
↦ K. Adeyemi
71′
G. Reyna 🔁
↦ D. Malen
71′
71′
🔁 Alex Telles
↦ M. Acuña
N. Schlotterbeck 🔁
↦ T. Meunier
83′
84′
🟨 Nemanja Gudelj
Salih Özcan 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 José Ángel Carmona
91′
🔁 G. Montiel
↦ Jesús Navas
91′
🔁 Joan Jordán
↦ Marcão
94′
🟨 Bono
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Dortmund

4-2-3-1
1 G. Kobel G
24 T. Meunier D
25 N. Süle D
15 M. Hummels D
36 T. Rothe D
22 J. Bellingham M
6 S. Özcan M
27 K. Adeyemi M
19 J. Brandt M
21 D. Malen M
20 A. Modeste F
Bench (11)
13 Raphaël Guerreiro
18 Y. Moukoko
10 T. Hazard
7 G. Reyna
4 N. Schlotterbeck
30 F. Passlack
47 A. Papadopoulos
17 M. Wolf
44 S. Coulibaly
33 A. Meyer
23 E. Can

Coach: E. Terzić

Sevilla

3-4-3
13 Y. Bounou G
30 José Ángel Carmona D
14 T. Nianzou D
23 Marcão D
16 Jesús Navas M
6 N. Gudelj M
10 I. Rakitić M
19 M. Acuña M
7 Suso F
15 Y. En-Nesyri F
17 E. Lamela F
Bench (12)
11 A. Januzaj
22 Isco
3 Alex Telles
2 G. Montiel
8 Joan Jordán
5 K. Dolberg
29 Kike Salas
12 Rafa Mir
1 M. Dmitrović
18 T. Delaney
24 P. Gómez
31 Alberto Flores

Coach: J. Sampaoli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Jovanović · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.