Bundesliga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Dortmund
Stuttgart
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Dortmund
|
24 | 16 | 6 | 2 | +31 | 54 |
| 2 |
Bayern Munich
|
24 | 17 | 3 | 4 | +29 | 54 |
| 3 |
RB Leipzig
|
24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | +23 | 45 |
| 4 |
M'gladbach
|
24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | +13 | 43 |
| 5 |
Ein Frankfurt
|
24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | +17 | 40 |
| 6 |
Leverkusen
|
24 | 12 | 3 | 9 | +8 | 39 |
| 7 |
Wolfsburg
|
24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | +8 | 39 |
| 8 |
Werder Bremen
|
25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | +6 | 36 |
| 9 |
Hertha
|
24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | +3 | 35 |
| 10 |
Hoffenheim
|
24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | +11 | 34 |
| 11 |
Fortuna Dusseldorf
|
24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | -11 | 31 |
| 12 |
Mainz
|
24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | -11 | 30 |
| 13 |
Freiburg
|
24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | -6 | 27 |
| 14 |
Schalke 04
|
25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | -16 | 23 |
| 15 |
Augsburg
|
24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -12 | 21 |
| 16 |
Stuttgart
|
24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | -28 | 19 |
| 17 |
Hannover
|
24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | -34 | 14 |
| 18 |
Nurnberg
|
24 | 2 | 7 | 15 | -31 | 13 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
M. Akanji
D
A. Hakimi
D
A. Witsel
M
M. Götze
M
M. Wolf
M
Coach: L. Favre
R. Zieler
G
M. Kempf
D
B. Pavard
D
O. Kabak
D
S. Zuber
M
N. González
F
Coach: M. Weinzierl
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Augsburg
Dortmund
Dortmund
Leverkusen
Nurnberg
Dortmund
Dortmund
Hoffenheim
Ein Frankfurt
Dortmund
Benjamin Cortus · 31 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.