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DFB-Pokal

Referee: B Dankert

Chemnitzer FC

1–2

Full-time

Union Berlin

S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

43% Possession 57%

7 Shots 27

2 Shots on target 8

1 Blocked shots 5

5 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 12

1 Offside 1

18 Free kicks against 18

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paderborn	1	1	0	0	+10	3
2	M'gladbach	1	1	0	0	+8	3
3	Karlsruhe	1	1	0	0	+8	3
4	Bielefeld	1	1	0	0	+6	3
5	Schalke 04	1	1	0	0	+5	3
6	Sandhausen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	Augsburg	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Bochum	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Hannover	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Mainz	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Hamburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Nurnberg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Heidenheim	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Stuttgarter Kickers	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	St Pauli	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Elversberg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	VfB Lubeck	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Braunschweig	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Hertha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Regensburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	FC Koln	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Waldhof Mannheim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Holstein Kiel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Straelen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Leverkusen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Kaiserslautern	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Dresden	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Hansa Rostock	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Carl Zeiss Jena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Bayreuth	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Kaan-Marienborn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Illertissen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Greuther Furth	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	SV Rodinghausen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Kickers Offenbach	1	0	0	1	-3	0
42	TSV 1860 Munich	1	0	0	1	-3	0
43	Viktoria Berlin	1	0	0	1	-3	0
44	Schott Mainz	1	0	0	1	-3	0
45	Erzgebirge Aue	1	0	0	1	-3	0
46	Schwarz-Weiß Rehden	1	0	0	1	-4	0
47	BW Lohne	1	0	0	1	-4	0
48	Bremer Sv	1	0	0	1	-5	0
49	FV Engers 07	1	0	0	1	-6	0
50	Oberachern	1	0	0	1	-8	0
51	Neustrelitz	1	0	0	1	-8	0
52	Einheit Wernigerode	1	0	0	1	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Stuttgarter Kickers	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Elversberg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	VfB Lubeck	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Braunschweig	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Regensburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Waldhof Mannheim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Straelen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Kaiserslautern	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Dresden	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Carl Zeiss Jena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Bayreuth	1	0	0	1	-2	0
12	Kaan-Marienborn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Illertissen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	SV Rodinghausen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Kickers Offenbach	1	0	0	1	-3	0
16	TSV 1860 Munich	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	Viktoria Berlin	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Schott Mainz	1	0	0	1	-3	0
19	Erzgebirge Aue	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	Schwarz-Weiß Rehden	1	0	0	1	-4	0
21	BW Lohne	1	0	0	1	-4	0
22	Bremer Sv	1	0	0	1	-5	0
23	FV Engers 07	1	0	0	1	-6	0
24	Oberachern	1	0	0	1	-8	0
25	Neustrelitz	1	0	0	1	-8	0
26	Einheit Wernigerode	1	0	0	1	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paderborn	1	1	0	0	+10	3
2	M'gladbach	1	1	0	0	+8	3
3	Karlsruhe	1	1	0	0	+8	3
4	Bielefeld	1	1	0	0	+6	3
5	Schalke 04	1	1	0	0	+5	3
6	Sandhausen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	Augsburg	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Bochum	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Hannover	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Mainz	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Hamburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Nurnberg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Heidenheim	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	St Pauli	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Hertha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	FC Koln	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Holstein Kiel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Leverkusen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Hansa Rostock	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Greuther Furth	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Chemnitzer FC Union Berlin

Half-time 1–0

1–0 T. Müller ⚽

K. Pagliuca

62′

63′

🔁 A. Voglsammer

↦ J. Haberer

64′

⚽ J. Siebatcheu 1–1

A. Voglsammer

69′

🔁 A. Schäfer

↦ G. Haraguchi

F. Kircicek 🔁

↦ M. Roscher

75′

79′

🔁 J. Ryerson

↦ N. Gießelmann

79′

🔁 M. Pantović

↦ S. Becker

S. Keller 🔁

↦ O. Kurt

90′

L. Stagge 🔁

↦ K. Pagliuca

90′

M. Ulrich 🔁

↦ R. Berger

100′

Niclas Walther 🟨

102′

105′

🔁 K. Behrens

↦ J. Siebatcheu

111′

🟨 András Schäfer

114′

⚽ K. Behrens 1–2

C. Trimmel

S. Mensah 🔁

↦ D. Pelivan

116′

Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Chemnitzer FC

3-4-1-2

1 J. Jakubov G

21 R. Zickert D

D. Pelivan D

T. Campulka D

22 R. Berger M

38 T. Müller M

8 O. Kurt M

4 N. Walther M

10 K. Pagliuca F

13 M. Roscher F

23 F. Brügmann

Bench (9)

9 F. Kircicek

18 S. Keller

26 L. Stagge

11 M. Ulrich

7 S. Mensah

32 D. Wunsch

3 M. Schreiber

25 R. Eppendorfer

5 S. Pribanovic

Coach: C. Tiffert

Union Berlin

3-5-2

F. Rønnow G

P. Jaeckel D

31 R. Knoche D

33 D. Heintz D

C. Trimmel M

24 G. Haraguchi M

R. Khedira M

J. Haberer M

23 N. Gießelmann M

S. Becker F

J. Siebatcheu F

Bench (9)

9 A. Voglsammer

13 A. Schäfer

6 J. Ryerson

32 M. Pantović

17 K. Behrens

11 S. Michel

5 D. Doekhi

40 J. Leweling

37 L. Grill

Coach: U. Fischer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

–

🔒

B ✓

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5 ✓

–

🔒

U2,5

–

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

–

🔒

BLS nei

–

🔒

Recent matches

No matches played yet.

Referee

B Dankert · 114 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

4,0 / match

Average

⚽ Free kicks

24,7 / match

Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match stats

Match report

Line-ups

Chemnitzer FC

Union Berlin

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee