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Premier League

Referee: M Oliver

Liverpool

S S S S S

6–0

Full-time

Leeds

S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Liverpool Leeds

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,0

4,2

Scored

2,3

1,8

Conceded

0,7

2,3

Goal diff per game

+1,7

-0,5

This season — Premier League · 25/24 matches

Win Ø 45%

68%

21%

Points per game

2,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 68%

72%

63%

Both score Ø 56%

44%

67%

Average goals

3,4

3,3

Scored

2,6

1,2

Conceded

0,8

2,1

Goal diff per game

+1,8

-0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

64% Possession 36%

23 Shots 3

15 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 8

4 Corners 0

1 Offside 6

5 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Liverpool 2. · Leeds 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	26	20	3	3	+46	63
2	Liverpool	25	17	6	2	+44	57
3	Chelsea	25	14	8	3	+31	50
4	Man United	26	13	7	6	+10	46
5	West Ham	26	12	6	8	+11	42
6	Arsenal	23	13	3	7	+10	42
7	Wolves	24	12	4	8	+5	40
8	Tottenham	24	12	3	9	-1	39
9	Brighton	25	7	12	6	-3	33
10	Southampton	25	7	11	7	-5	32
11	Crystal Palace	26	6	11	9	-1	29
12	Leicester	23	7	6	10	-6	27
13	Aston Villa	24	8	3	13	-6	27
14	Brentford	26	6	6	14	-15	24
15	Leeds	24	5	8	11	-21	23
16	Everton	23	6	4	13	-12	22
17	Newcastle	24	4	10	10	-19	22
18	Burnley	23	3	11	9	-8	20
19	Watford	25	5	3	17	-22	18
20	Norwich	25	4	5	16	-38	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	13	10	1	2	+27	31
2	Liverpool	12	9	3	0	+23	30
3	Arsenal	12	8	2	2	+11	26
4	Chelsea	12	6	5	1	+17	23
5	Man United	13	7	2	4	+5	23
6	Tottenham	12	7	1	4	+3	22
7	West Ham	13	6	3	4	+5	21
8	Southampton	12	4	7	1	+6	19
9	Leicester	12	5	3	4	+3	18
10	Crystal Palace	13	4	5	4	+5	17
11	Wolves	12	5	2	5	+0	17
12	Everton	11	5	1	5	+1	16
13	Aston Villa	12	4	3	5	+0	15
14	Newcastle	13	3	6	4	-6	15
15	Brentford	13	4	2	7	-3	14
16	Brighton	12	3	5	4	-4	14
17	Leeds	12	3	4	5	-6	13
18	Burnley	11	2	6	3	+0	12
19	Norwich	13	2	3	8	-17	9
20	Watford	13	2	1	10	-19	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	13	10	2	1	+19	32
2	Liverpool	13	8	3	2	+21	27
3	Chelsea	13	8	3	2	+14	27
4	Man United	13	6	5	2	+5	23
5	Wolves	12	7	2	3	+5	23
6	West Ham	13	6	3	4	+6	21
7	Brighton	13	4	7	2	+1	19
8	Tottenham	12	5	2	5	-4	17
9	Arsenal	11	5	1	5	-1	16
10	Southampton	13	3	4	6	-11	13
11	Crystal Palace	13	2	6	5	-6	12
12	Aston Villa	12	4	0	8	-6	12
13	Watford	12	3	2	7	-3	11
14	Brentford	13	2	4	7	-12	10
15	Leeds	12	2	4	6	-15	10
16	Leicester	11	2	3	6	-9	9
17	Burnley	12	1	5	6	-8	8
18	Norwich	12	2	2	8	-21	8
19	Newcastle	11	1	4	6	-13	7
20	Everton	12	1	3	8	-13	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.