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Bundesliga
Referee: Robert Kampka
M'gladbach
S S S T U
0–3
Full-time
Wolfsburg
T T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

M'gladbach Wolfsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,2
3,5
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 52%
59%
45%
Points per game
2,0
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
59%
68%
Both score Ø 50%
45%
55%
Average goals
2,9
3,0
Scored
1,9
1,6
Conceded
1,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

57% Possession 43%
16 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
12 Corners 1
3 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match M'gladbach 3. · Wolfsburg 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Dortmund 22 15 6 1 +31 51
2 Bayern Munich 22 15 3 4 +24 48
3 M'gladbach 22 13 4 5 +20 43
4 RB Leipzig 22 12 5 5 +22 41
5 Leverkusen 22 11 3 8 +7 36
6 Wolfsburg 22 10 5 7 +5 35
7 Ein Frankfurt 22 9 7 6 +13 34
8 Hoffenheim 22 8 9 5 +12 33
9 Werder Bremen 23 8 8 7 +4 32
10 Hertha 22 8 8 6 +3 32
11 Mainz 22 7 6 9 -13 27
12 Fortuna Dusseldorf 22 7 4 11 -16 25
13 Freiburg 22 5 9 8 -8 24
14 Schalke 04 22 6 5 11 -7 23
15 Augsburg 22 4 6 12 -9 18
16 Stuttgart 23 4 4 15 -32 16
17 Hannover 22 3 5 14 -27 14
18 Nurnberg 22 2 7 13 -29 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

M'gladbach Wolfsburg
38′
Y. Gerhardt 0–1
J. Roussillon
Half-time 0–1
J. Hofmann 🔁
↦ D. Zakaria
46′
58′
🟨 Josip Brekalo
Florian Neuhaus 🟨
61′
64′
🔁 A. Mehmedi
↦ J. Brekalo
A. Pléa 🔁
↦ P. Herrmann
66′
68′
A. Mehmedi 0–2
78′
🔁 E. Rexhbecaj
↦ R. Steffen
J. Drmic 🔁
↦ F. Neuhaus
82′
83′
A. Mehmedi 0–3
J. Brooks
84′
🔁 F. Klaus
↦ W. Weghorst
Lars Stindl 🟨
87′
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

M'gladbach

4-3-3
1 Y. Sommer G
17 O. Wendt D
28 M. Ginter D
30 N. Elvedi D
19 F. Johnson M
13 L. Stindl F
6 C. Kramer M
32 F. Neuhaus M
8 D. Zakaria M
7 P. Herrmann F
10 T. Hazard M
Bench (7)
23 J. Hofmann
14 A. Pléa
18 J. Drmic
5 T. Strobl
21 T. Sippel
24 T. Jantschke
3 M. Lang

Coach: D. Hecking

Wolfsburg

4-3-3
1 K. Casteels G
31 R. Knoche D
15 J. Roussillon D
25 J. Brooks D
13 Y. Gerhardt M
2 William D
23 J. Guilavogui M
27 M. Arnold M
8 R. Steffen M
7 J. Brekalo M
9 W. Weghorst F
Bench (7)
14 A. Mehmedi
37 E. Rexhbecaj
11 F. Klaus
10 Y. Mallı
12 P. Pervan
3 P. Verhaegh
17 F. Uduokhai

Coach: B. Labbadia

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Robert Kampka · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
30,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,03 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.