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Super League

Referee: A Kanagasingam

Thun

S T S S S

4–1

Full-time

Young Boys

S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Thun Young Boys

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

4,2

3,2

Scored

2,7

1,0

Conceded

1,5

2,2

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 55%

70%

40%

Points per game

2,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

75%

Both score Ø 68%

70%

65%

Average goals

3,3

4,0

Scored

2,1

2,0

Conceded

1,2

2,1

Goal diff per game

+0,9

-0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

3,41 xG 3,30

39% Possession 61%

15 Shots 21

7 Shots on target 7

4 Blocked shots 9

6 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 6

3 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Thun 1. · Young Boys 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	20	14	1	5	+18	+1.2	43
2	Lugano	21	12	3	6	+11	+0.1	39
3	St. Gallen	19	12	1	6	+16	+4.2	37
4	Basel	20	9	6	5	+8	+12.3	33
5	Sion	21	8	8	5	+6	+4.2	32
6	Young Boys	20	8	5	7	-2	-1.0	29
7	Lausanne	21	7	7	7	+3	+6.7	28
8	Zurich	20	7	4	9	-7	+2.2	25
9	Luzern	21	5	7	9	-3	-3.8	22
10	Servette	20	5	6	9	-7	+2.1	21
11	Grasshoppers	21	4	6	11	-11	-12.9	18
12	Winterthur	20	2	4	14	-32	-15.4	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lugano	11	7	2	2	+11	+2.2	23
2	Thun	10	6	1	3	+7	-1.1	19
3	St. Gallen	10	6	0	4	+9	+6.6	18
4	Sion	11	5	3	3	+6	+1.1	18
5	Young Boys	10	5	2	3	+6	+5.7	17
6	Basel	10	4	4	2	+7	+14.0	16
7	Lausanne	11	4	3	4	+3	+8.0	15
8	Zurich	10	4	1	5	-3	+3.9	13
9	Servette	10	2	4	4	-3	+0.8	10
10	Grasshoppers	10	2	3	5	-1	-4.0	9
11	Luzern	10	1	4	5	-2	+2.6	7
12	Winterthur	9	1	2	6	-8	-3.6	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	10	8	0	2	+11	+2.3	24
2	St. Gallen	9	6	1	2	+7	-2.3	19
3	Basel	10	5	2	3	+1	-1.7	17
4	Lugano	10	5	1	4	+0	-2.1	16
5	Luzern	11	4	3	4	-1	-6.4	15
6	Sion	10	3	5	2	+0	+3.1	14
7	Lausanne	10	3	4	3	+0	-1.4	13
8	Zurich	10	3	3	4	-4	-1.6	12
9	Young Boys	10	3	3	4	-8	-6.7	12
10	Servette	10	3	2	5	-4	+1.4	11
11	Grasshoppers	11	2	3	6	-10	-8.8	9
12	Winterthur	11	1	2	8	-24	-11.8	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.