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Super League
Referee: L Fähndrich
Young Boys
S T S U S
4–0
Full-time
Thun
T S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Young Boys Thun
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,8
3,2
Scored
2,7
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-0,5
This season — Super League · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 41%
57%
25%
Points per game
2,0
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
57%
61%
Both score Ø 52%
50%
54%
Average goals
3,4
3,1
Scored
2,1
1,1
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,9
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

58% Possession 42%
21 Shots 2
8 Shots on target 0
3 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
11 Corners 4
2 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Young Boys 2. · Thun 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St. Gallen 28 18 3 7 +20 57
2 Young Boys 28 16 7 5 +24 55
3 Basel 28 15 4 9 +27 49
4 Zurich 29 12 6 11 -12 42
5 Servette 28 10 11 7 +13 41
6 Luzern 28 12 5 11 -1 41
7 Lugano 28 8 9 11 -4 33
8 Thun 28 7 4 17 -26 25
9 Sion 28 6 6 16 -19 24
10 Xamax 29 4 11 14 -22 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Young Boys Thun
16′
🟨 H. Bande
M. Sulejmani 🔁
↦ G. Hoarau
34′
V. Sierro 🟨
35′
Half-time 0–0
47′
🟨 S. Glarner
1–0 M. Ngamaleu
47′
50′
🟨 H. Bande
50′
🟥 H. Bande
2–0 M. Sulejmani
51′
G. Gaudino 🔁
↦ M. Ngamaleu
59′
S. Janko 🔁
↦ J. Lotomba
59′
M. Elia 🔁
↦ F. Lustenberger
60′
60′
🔁 M. Tosetti
↦ L. Bertone
60′
🔁 K. Fatkic
↦ G. Karlen
65′
🔁 Saleh Chihadeh
↦ R. Munsy
68′
🟨 S. Chihadeh
3–0 M. Sulejmani
M. Elia
71′
72′
🔁 C. Kablan
↦ N. Hefti
72′
🔁 H. Ahmed
↦ M. Castroman
C. Martins 🔁
↦ M. Aebischer
76′
4–0 G. Gaudino
M. Elia
90′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Young Boys

3-4-3
26 D. von Ballmoos G
28 F. Lustenberger D
25 J. Lefort M
14 N. Bürgy D
29 J. Lotomba M
5 C. Zesiger D
13 M. Ngamaleu F
16 C. Fassnacht F
8 V. Sierro M
20 M. Aebischer M
99 G. Hoarau F
Bench (7)
10 M. Sulejmani
11 G. Gaudino
23 S. Janko
15 M. Elia
35 C. Martins
4 M. Camara
1 M. Wölfli

Coach: G. Seoane

Thun

4-3-1-2
1 G. Faivre G
31 S. Glarner D
28 N. Hasler M
5 N. Havenaar D
7 M. Castroman M
8 G. Karlen M
16 L. Bertone M
10 B. Stillhart D
29 N. Hefti D
9 R. Munsy F
27 H. Bandé F
Bench (7)
11 M. Tosetti
6 K. Fatkic
33 Saleh Chihadeh
20 C. Kablan
15 H. Ahmed
30 A. Hirzel
39 S. Joss

Coach: M. Schneider

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

L Fähndrich · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.