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Super League
Referee: A Dudic
Winterthur
T U T T T
2–1
Full-time
Lausanne
S T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Winterthur Lausanne
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,8
2,0
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
2,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 20/21 matches
Win Ø 22%
10%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 76%
85%
67%
Both score Ø 66%
65%
67%
Average goals
4,0
2,9
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
2,8
1,4
Goal diff per game
-1,6
+0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,94 xG 0,73
39% Possession 61%
16 Shots 18
7 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 8
0 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Winterthur 12. · Lausanne 7.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Thun 21 15 1 5 +21 +1.3 46
2 Lugano 21 12 3 6 +11 +0.1 39
3 St. Gallen 20 12 1 7 +14 +3.1 37
4 Basel 21 10 6 5 +9 +11.2 36
5 Sion 21 8 8 5 +6 +4.2 32
6 Young Boys 21 8 5 8 -5 -1.1 29
7 Lausanne 21 7 7 7 +3 +6.7 28
8 Zurich 21 7 4 10 -8 +3.4 25
9 Servette 21 6 6 9 -5 +3.3 24
10 Luzern 21 5 7 9 -3 -3.8 22
11 Grasshoppers 21 4 6 11 -11 -12.9 18
12 Winterthur 20 2 4 14 -32 -15.4 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Winterthur Lausanne
1–0 A. Jankewitz
T. Golliard
4′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 M. Poaty
↦ K. Sow
46′
🔁 B. Lekoueiry
↦ J. Roche
46′
🔁 O. Janneh
↦ S. Traore
Tibault Citherlet 🟨
51′
55′
F. Mollet 1–1
65′
🟨 Beyatt Lekoueiry
R. Schneider 🔁
↦ P. Kasami
66′
E. Maluvunu 🔁
↦ R. Buess
66′
2–1 T. Golliard
74′
77′
🔁 A. Ajdini
↦ F. Mollet
78′
🔁 E. Kana-Biyik
↦ G. Diakite
L. Muhl 🔁
↦ T. Citherlet
81′
L. Maksutaj 🔁
↦ T. Golliard
81′
Alexandre Jankewitz 🟨
91′
Stéphane Cueni 🟥
94′
94′
🟥 Brandon Soppy
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Winterthur

3-5-2
1 S. Kapino G
33 T. Citherlet D
16 R. Arnold D
22 A. Durrer D
24 S. Sidler M
23 P. Kasami M
44 S. Cueni M
45 A. Jankewitz M
11 B. Dansoko M
9 R. Buess F
8 T. Golliard F
Bench (9)
5 L. Muhl
10 R. Schneider
26 L. Sahitaj
27 F. Rohner
35 L. Maksutaj
37 E. Maluvunu
38 S. Camara
40 T. Okafor
75 A. Spagnoli

Coach: Patrick Rahmen

Lausanne

4-3-1-2
25 K. Letica G
2 B. Soppy D
14 K. Mouanga D
71 K. Sow D
93 S. Fofana D
91 F. Mollet M
8 J. Roche M
10 O. Custodio M
70 G. Diakite M
17 S. Traore F
11 N. Butler-Oyedeji F
Bench (9)
1 T. Castella
6 T. Bergvall
7 A. Ajdini
18 M. Poaty
19 E. Bruchez
22 E. Kana-Biyik
27 B. Lekoueiry
54 R. Lippo
78 O. Janneh

Coach: Peter Zeidler

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Dudic · 93 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.