Super League
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Servette
Lausanne
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Thun
|
19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | +16 | +1.2 | 40 |
| 2 |
St. Gallen
|
19 | 12 | 1 | 6 | +16 | +4.2 | 37 |
| 3 |
Lugano
|
19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | +5 | -0.5 | 33 |
| 4 |
Basel
|
19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | +8 | +12.3 | 32 |
| 5 |
Young Boys
|
19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | +0 | +0.6 | 29 |
| 6 |
Sion
|
18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | +4 | +3.4 | 27 |
| 7 |
Zurich
|
19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | -7 | +2.2 | 24 |
| 8 |
Luzern
|
19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | +0 | -3.0 | 21 |
| 9 |
Lausanne
|
18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | +0 | +4.6 | 21 |
| 10 |
Servette
|
18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | -6 | +2.1 | 20 |
| 11 |
Grasshoppers
|
19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -9 | -12.4 | 17 |
| 12 |
Winterthur
|
18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | -27 | -14.8 | 10 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Basel
Servette
Lugano
Servette
Grasshoppers
Servette
Servette
Young Boys
Luzern
Servette
S Scharer · 132 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.