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Super League
Referee: Luca Cibelli
Lausanne
U T U U T
3–2
Full-time
Winterthur
S S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lausanne Winterthur
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
3,8
3,2
Scored
1,8
2,0
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

3,50 xG 0,64
63% Possession 37%
23 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
12 Corners 2
1 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 19
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1

Recent head-to-head meetings

12. Apr -25 Winterthur – Lausanne 1–0 9. Nov -24 Winterthur – Lausanne 1–0 20. Oct -24 Lausanne – Winterthur 2–0 25. Feb -24 Lausanne – Winterthur 1–1 17. Dec -23 Winterthur – Lausanne 1–0

Match report

Lausanne Winterthur
Konrad de la Fuente 🟨
22′
28′
🟨 Alexandre Jankewitz
Olivier Custodio 🟨
34′
43′
⚽ B. Beyer 0–1
A. Jankewitz
Half-time 0–1
B. Lekoueiry 🔁
↦ K. de la Fuente
46′
1–1 G. Diakite ⚽
B. Lekoueiry
61′
63′
🟨 Remo Arnold
64′
⚽ C. Gomis 1–2
A. Durrer
65′
🔁 S. Diaby
↦ A. Jankewitz
65′
🔁 S. Cueni
↦ D. Ulrich
B. Soppy 🔁
↦ K. Mouanga
66′
B. Okoh 🔁
↦ K. Sow
66′
68′
🟨 Randy Schneider
73′
🔁 B. Stillhart
↦ R. Schneider
80′
🟨 Adrian Durrer
2–2 M. K. Sene ⚽
81′
S. Traore 🔁
↦ A. Ajdini
82′
82′
🔁 L. Muhl
↦ B. Beyer
82′
🔁 T. Golliard
↦ C. Gomis
88′
🟨 Adrian Durrer
88′
🟥 Adrian Durrer
N. Butler-Oyedeji 🔁
↦ M. K. Sene
89′
3–2 G. Diakite ⚽
B. Soppy
90′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Lausanne

4-3-1-2
25 K. Letica G
14 K. Mouanga D
71 K. Sow D
6 N. Dussenne D
18 M. Poaty D
10 O. Custodio M
8 J. Roche M
70 G. Diakite M
23 K. de la Fuente M
9 M. K. Sene F
7 A. Ajdini F
Bench (9)
1 T. Castella
2 B. Soppy
5 B. Okoh
11 N. Butler-Oyedeji
17 S. Traore
21 D. Carraco
27 B. Lekoueiry
43 M. Polster
47 S. N'Diaye

Coach: Peter Zeidler

Winterthur

3-4-1-2
1 S. Kapino G
26 L. Sahitaj D
16 R. Arnold D
22 A. Durrer D
19 D. Ulrich M
7 L. Zuffi M
45 A. Jankewitz M
24 S. Sidler M
10 R. Schneider F
68 B. Beyer F
23 C. Gomis F
Bench (9)
4 B. Stillhart
5 L. Muhl
8 T. Golliard
18 S. Diaby
33 T. Citherlet
34 J. Holder
37 E. Maluvunu
44 S. Cueni
75 A. Spagnoli

Coach: Uli Forte

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.