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Conference League
Referee: Lothar D'hondt
Lausanne
T S U U U
1–0
Full-time
Fiorentina
T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lausanne Fiorentina
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,0
2,5
Scored
0,3
0,8
Conceded
0,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 11/7 matches
Win Ø 63%
55%
71%
Points per game
1,9
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
36%
71%
Both score Ø 40%
36%
43%
Average goals
2,3
2,9
Scored
1,6
2,0
Conceded
0,6
0,9
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,42 xG 0,58
46% Possession 54%
17 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 4
7 Blocked shots 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 7
0 Offside 4
11 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Lausanne Fiorentina
Half-time 0–0
55′
🔁 N. Fortini
↦ C. Kouame
1–0 G. Sigua ⚽
E. Kana-Biyik
58′
A. Ajdini 🔁
↦ E. Kana-Biyik
71′
O. Custodio 🔁
↦ G. Sigua
71′
71′
🔁 R. Mandragora
↦ A. Richardson
71′
🔁 A. Gudmundsson
↦ E. Dzeko
71′
🔁 M. Kean
↦ R. Piccoli
73′
🟨 Moise Kean
M. Poaty 🔁
↦ N. Butler-Oyedeji
79′
83′
🔁 Dodo
↦ E. Kouadio
85′
🟨 Niccolò Fortini
H. Abdallah 🔁
↦ S. Fofana
86′
Beyatt Lekoueiry 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Lausanne

4-3-1-2
25 K. Letica G
2 B. Soppy D
14 K. Mouanga D
71 K. Sow D
93 S. Fofana D
38 G. Sigua M
8 J. Roche M
11 N. Butler-Oyedeji M
27 B. Lekoueiry M
9 T. Bair F
22 E. Kana-Biyik F
Bench (12)
1 T. Castella
5 B. Okoh
7 A. Ajdini
10 O. Custodio
17 S. Traore
18 M. Poaty
20 H. Abdallah
47 S. N'Diaye
50 L. Bittarelli
54 R. Lippo
56 A. Lachhab
57 E. Franchi

Coach: Peter Zeidler

Fiorentina

3-5-2
30 T. Martinelli G
5 M. Pongracic D
18 P. Mari D
26 M. Viti D
60 E. Kouadio M
24 A. Richardson M
14 H. Nicolussi Caviglia M
7 S. Sohm M
99 C. Kouame M
9 E. Dzeko F
91 R. Piccoli F
Bench (12)
1 L. Lezzerini
43 D. de Gea
2 Dodo
6 L. Ranieri
8 R. Mandragora
10 A. Gudmundsson
15 P. Comuzzo
20 M. Kean
23 E. Kospo
29 N. Fortini
44 N. Fagioli
65 F. Parisi

Coach: Paolo Vanoli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Lothar D'hondt · 47 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.