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Super League

Referee: Luca Piccolo

Zurich

T T T T T

3–2

Full-time

Luzern

U U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zurich Luzern

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,5

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,0

4,2

Scored

1,0

2,5

Conceded

2,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,1

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

75%

Both score Ø 71%

67%

75%

Average goals

3,3

3,6

Scored

1,3

2,0

Conceded

1,9

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

2,78 xG 2,85

61% Possession 39%

21 Shots 17

6 Shots on target 7

7 Blocked shots 4

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 3

3 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 16

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Zurich 10. · Luzern 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	12	9	1	2	+11	-3.3	28
2	Basel	12	7	1	4	+7	+7.6	22
3	St. Gallen	11	7	0	4	+12	+2.9	21
4	Young Boys	12	5	4	3	-1	-2.7	19
5	Sion	12	5	3	4	+3	+4.8	18
6	Luzern	12	4	5	3	+5	-0.4	17
7	Lugano	11	5	1	5	-1	+2.7	16
8	Lausanne	12	4	3	5	+4	+4.5	15
9	Servette	12	4	2	6	-4	+0.8	14
10	Zurich	12	4	1	7	-7	+3.5	13
11	Grasshoppers	12	2	4	6	-10	-10.6	10
12	Winterthur	12	1	3	8	-19	-9.7	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	6	4	1	1	+5	-3.9	13
2	Lugano	6	4	1	1	+5	+1.3	13
3	St. Gallen	6	4	0	2	+10	+4.1	12
4	Basel	5	4	0	1	+8	+10.0	12
5	Young Boys	6	3	2	1	+5	+3.3	11
6	Lausanne	6	3	0	3	+6	+5.6	9
7	Grasshoppers	6	2	2	2	+3	-2.0	8
8	Servette	6	2	2	2	-1	+0.7	8
9	Sion	6	2	1	3	+1	-0.2	7
10	Luzern	6	1	3	2	+4	+2.6	6
11	Zurich	6	2	0	4	-4	+3.6	6
12	Winterthur	6	1	2	3	-3	-1.7	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	6	5	0	1	+6	+0.6	15
2	Sion	6	3	2	1	+2	+5.0	11
3	Luzern	6	3	2	1	+1	-2.9	11
4	Basel	7	3	1	3	-1	-2.4	10
5	St. Gallen	5	3	0	2	+2	-1.2	9
6	Young Boys	6	2	2	2	-6	-6.0	8
7	Zurich	6	2	1	3	-3	-0.1	7
8	Lausanne	6	1	3	2	-2	-1.1	6
9	Servette	6	2	0	4	-3	+0.1	6
10	Lugano	5	1	0	4	-6	+1.4	3
11	Grasshoppers	6	0	2	4	-13	-8.6	2
12	Winterthur	6	0	1	5	-16	-8.0	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.