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Super League
Referee: A Dudic
St. Gallen
U T S U U
3–2
Full-time
Lausanne
S U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gallen Lausanne
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 40%
32%
47%
Points per game
1,4
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
47%
53%
Both score Ø 55%
68%
42%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,6
1,6
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2,65 xG 1,53
51% Possession 49%
17 Shots 13
9 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
5 Corners 6
4 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match St. Gallen 7. · Lausanne 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Lugano 20 10 5 5 +7 +1.1 35
2 Basel 19 9 4 6 +21 +13.8 31
3 Lausanne 19 9 4 6 +9 +11.3 31
4 Servette 20 8 7 5 +2 -0.1 31
5 Luzern 19 8 6 5 +3 +1.4 30
6 Zurich 19 8 6 5 +0 -2.8 30
7 St. Gallen 19 6 8 5 +6 -5.9 26
8 Sion 19 7 5 7 +3 +8.8 26
9 Young Boys 20 6 7 7 -4 +3.0 25
10 Grasshoppers 20 4 7 9 -9 -4.0 19
11 Yverdon 20 4 6 10 -13 -12.1 18
12 Winterthur 20 3 5 12 -25 -14.4 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St. Gallen Lausanne
3′
K. Sène 0–1
5′
ℹ️ Mamadou Kaly Sene
VAR: Goal confirmed
1–1 L. Görtler
B. Toma
11′
17′
🟨 Raoul Giger
30′
🟥 Abdou Karim Sow
30′
ℹ️ Abdou Karim Sow
VAR: Card upgrade
33′
🔁 K. Mouanga
↦ F. Diabaté
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 K. Koindredi
↦ J. Roche
Chima Okoroji 🟨
47′
48′
A. Sanches 1–2
T. Okou
2–2 C. Witzig
L. Görtler
57′
63′
🔁 O. Custodio
↦ A. Bernede
63′
🔁 A. Ajdini
↦ K. Sène
Jordi Quintillà 🔁
↦ L. Görtler
71′
3–2 W. Geubbels
B. Toma
71′
79′
🔁 A. Balde
↦ T. Okou
F. Mambimbi 🔁
↦ B. Toma
81′
M. Cisse 🔁
↦ W. Geubbels
81′
Mihailo Stevanović 🟨
86′
K. Faber 🔁
↦ K. Csoboth
89′
Víctor Ruiz 🔁
↦ C. Witzig
89′
Moustapha Cissé ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
94′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

St. Gallen

4-2-3-1
1 L. Zigi G
28 H. Vandermersch D
5 S. Ambrosius D
4 J. Stanić D
36 C. Okoroji D
16 L. Görtler M
64 M. Stevanović M
24 B. Toma M
7 C. Witzig M
77 K. Csoboth M
9 W. Geubbels F
Bench (9)
8 Jordi Quintillà
18 F. Mambimbi
11 M. Cisse
22 K. Faber
30 Víctor Ruiz
20 A. Vallci
10 C. Akolo
25 L. Watkowiak
14 N. Yannick

Coach: E. Maaßen

Lausanne

4-2-3-1
25 K. Letica G
34 R. Giger D
71 K. Sow D
6 N. Dussenne D
18 M. Poaty D
8 J. Roche M
24 A. Bernede M
92 T. Okou M
80 A. Sanches M
11 F. Diabaté M
9 K. Sène F
Bench (9)
14 K. Mouanga
5 K. Koindredi
10 O. Custodio
7 A. Ajdini
70 A. Balde
23 K. de la Fuente
39 F. Oviedo
1 T. Castella
93 S. Fofana

Coach: L. Magnin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Dudic · 95 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.