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Super League
Referee: L Piccolo
Lausanne
U S T S S
3–3
Full-time
St. Gallen
S T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lausanne St. Gallen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 36%
31%
41%
Points per game
1,2
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
62%
48%
Both score Ø 62%
69%
55%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,4
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

2,60 xG 0,98
57% Possession 43%
17 Shots 16
6 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 6
1 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lausanne 8. · St. Gallen 6.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Young Boys 29 16 7 6 +29 +1.5 55
2 Servette 30 15 9 6 +16 +25.7 54
3 Lugano 30 16 4 10 +14 +9.7 52
4 Zurich 30 11 12 7 +10 +3.1 45
5 Winterthur 30 12 9 9 -1 -7.2 45
6 St. Gallen 29 12 6 11 +4 +13.0 42
7 Luzern 29 11 6 12 -4 +2.2 39
8 Lausanne 29 9 8 12 -4 -0.4 35
9 Yverdon 29 9 7 13 -20 -16.9 34
10 Basel 30 9 6 15 -13 -4.8 33
11 Grasshoppers 29 8 6 15 -4 -8.9 30
12 Lausanne Ouchy 30 5 8 17 -27 -17.2 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lausanne St. Gallen
-5′
🟨 Jozo Stanić
7′
C. Akolo 0–1
Víctor Ruiz
Simone Pafundi 🟨
19′
24′
Jordi Quintillà 0–2
C. Akolo
1–2 N. Dussenne
M. Poaty
34′
Half-time 1–2
A. Sanches 🔁
↦ S. Pafundi
46′
J. Roche 🔁
↦ O. Custodio
46′
54′
🔁 C. Okoroji
↦ Jordi Quintillà
Raoul Giger 🟨
58′
66′
🔁 A. Diaby
↦ J. Stanić
67′
🔁 B. Toma
↦ Víctor Ruiz
67′
🔁 J. Milošević
↦ C. Akolo
R. Ilie 🔁
↦ F. Diabaté
72′
B. Labeau 🔁
↦ A. Bernede
72′
2–2 D. Rrudhani
J. Roche
78′
80′
J. Milošević 2–3
C. Witzig
Mamadou Kaly Sene ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
84′
84′
🟨 Abdoulaye Diaby
3–3 D. Rrudhani
86′
C. Kablan 🔁
↦ D. Rrudhani
91′
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Lausanne

4-3-3
25 K. Letica G
34 R. Giger D
6 N. Dussenne D
5 B. Dabanlı D
18 M. Poaty D
29 D. Rrudhani M
10 O. Custodio M
24 A. Bernede M
30 S. Pafundi F
9 K. Sène F
11 F. Diabaté F
Bench (9)
80 A. Sanches
8 J. Roche
19 R. Ilie
96 B. Labeau
20 C. Kablan
37 M. Nanizayamo
22 S. Kalu
13 H. Loucif
1 T. Castella

Coach: L. Magnin

St. Gallen

4-3-1-2
1 L. Zigi G
6 P. Sutter D
4 J. Stanić D
20 A. Vallci D
33 I. Schmidt D
64 M. Stevanović M
8 Jordi Quintillà M
37 C. Witzig M
30 Víctor Ruiz M
10 C. Akolo F
9 W. Geubbels F
Bench (8)
36 C. Okoroji
15 A. Diaby
24 B. Toma
90 J. Milošević
25 L. Watkowiak
7 F. Schubert
63 C. Konietzke
5 J. Janitzek

Coach: P. Zeidler

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Piccolo · 90 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.