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Europa League
Referee: R Petrescu
Besiktas
U T S S U
5–1
Full-time
Lugano
S S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Besiktas Lugano
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,8
3,8
Scored
2,2
2,0
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 1/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
6,0
3,7
Scored
3,0
2,0
Conceded
3,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%
18 Shots 9
10 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 5
0 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

22. Aug -24 Lugano – Besiktas 3–3 14. Dec -23 Lugano – Besiktas 0–2 5. Oct -23 Besiktas – Lugano 2–3

Match report

Besiktas Lugano
5′
🟨 Milton Valenzuela
1–0 C. Immobile ⚽
7′
Gedson Fernandes 🟨
28′
Semih Kılıçsoy 🟨
42′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 L. Mai
↦ A. El Wafi
46′
🔁 O. Doumbia
↦ M. Hadj Mahmoud
59′
⚽ S. Vladi 1–1
I. Aliseda
Emirhan Topçu 🟨
61′
2–1 Gedson Fernandes ⚽
Rafa
65′
E. Muçi 🔁
↦ S. Kılıçsoy
67′
3–1 Rafa ⚽
M. Rashica
70′
71′
🔁 M. Bottani
↦ A. Grgic
4–1 C. Immobile ⚽
Gedson Fernandes
71′
77′
🔁 Z. Brault-Guillard
↦ M. Zanotti
77′
🔁 Y. Cimignani
↦ S. Vladi
C. Ndour 🔁
↦ M. Rashica
78′
M. Hekimoğlu 🔁
↦ C. Immobile
78′
C. Keleş 🔁
↦ Rafa
87′
S. Uçan 🔁
↦ Gedson Fernandes
87′
92′
🟨 Uran Bislimi
5–1 S. Uçan ⚽
92′
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Besiktas

4-2-3-1
34 M. Günok G
2 J. Svensson D
3 Gabriel Paulista D
53 E. Topçu D
26 A. Masuaku D
28 Al Musrati M
83 Gedson Fernandes M
7 M. Rashica M
27 Rafa M
9 S. Kılıçsoy F
17 C. Immobile F
Bench (12)
23 E. Muçi
73 C. Ndour
91 M. Hekimoğlu
77 C. Keleş
8 S. Uçan
21 E. Tıknaz
5 T. Sanuç
79 E. Terzi
6 O. Colley
30 E. Destanoğlu
4 O. Bulut
22 B. Zaynutdinov

Coach: G. van Bronckhorst

Lugano

4-3-3
1 A. Saipi G
46 M. Zanotti D
6 A. Papadopoulos D
22 A. El Wafi D
23 M. Valenzuela D
29 M. Hadj Mahmoud M
8 A. Grgic M
25 U. Bislimi M
11 R. Steffen F
9 S. Vladi F
31 I. Aliseda F
Bench (11)
17 L. Mai
20 O. Doumbia
10 M. Bottani
2 Z. Brault-Guillard
21 Y. Cimignani
99 D. Mina
26 Martim Marques
93 K. Przybyłko
7 R. Macek
58 S. Osigwe
27 Daniel Dos Santos

Coach: M. Croci-Torti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

R Petrescu · 21 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.