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Super League

Referee: S Wolfensberger

Young Boys

S T S S U

5–2

Full-time

Winterthur

T T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Young Boys Winterthur

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,8

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,7

Scored

1,5

0,7

Conceded

1,2

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-1,3

This season — Super League · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

2,0

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

3,5

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

1,5

2,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

2,46 xG 1,40

57% Possession 43%

20 Shots 15

8 Shots on target 7

4 Blocked shots 4

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

8 Corners 6

0 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Young Boys 4. · Winterthur 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lugano	2	2	0	0	+4	+0.7	6
2	Servette	2	1	1	0	+2	–	4
3	Zurich	2	1	1	0	+2	–	4
4	Young Boys	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.2	4
5	Luzern	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.3	4
6	Basel	2	1	0	1	+2	+1.4	3
7	St. Gallen	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.5	3
8	Lausanne	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.6	1
9	Grasshoppers	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.6	1
10	Yverdon	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.2	1
11	Winterthur	2	0	1	1	-3	-1.4	1
12	Lausanne Ouchy	2	0	0	2	-4	+0.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Basel	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.4	3
2	Zurich	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
3	St. Gallen	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
4	Luzern	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.3	3
5	Young Boys	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
6	Lugano	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.5	3
7	Servette	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
8	Yverdon	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
9	Lausanne	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.6	1
10	Winterthur	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
11	Grasshoppers	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
12	Lausanne Ouchy	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lugano	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.2	3
2	Servette	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
3	Zurich	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
4	Young Boys	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
5	Grasshoppers	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.6	1
6	Luzern	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
7	Basel	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
8	Lausanne Ouchy	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.3	0
9	Lausanne	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
10	St. Gallen	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.5	0
11	Yverdon	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
12	Winterthur	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.