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Super League
Referee: E Staubli
Lugano
S S S S T
2–0
Full-time
Sion
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano Sion
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
This season — Super League · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 43%
53%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
40%
53%
Both score Ø 63%
53%
73%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

52% Possession 48%
14 Shots 13
7 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 2
3 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lugano 3. · Sion 7. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Zurich 16 10 4 2 +13 34
2 Basel 15 8 6 1 +19 30
3 Lugano 15 8 2 5 +4 26
4 Young Boys 15 7 4 4 +15 25
5 Servette 16 6 3 7 -3 21
6 Grasshoppers 15 4 6 5 +2 18
7 Sion 15 5 3 7 -10 18
8 St. Gallen 15 4 3 8 -11 15
9 Lausanne 16 2 6 8 -15 12
10 Luzern 16 1 7 8 -14 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

28. Aug -21 Sion – Lugano 3–2 15. May -21 Lugano – Sion 3–1 4. Mar -21 Sion – Lugano 0–3 17. Jan -21 Sion – Lugano 1–1 3. Oct -20 Lugano – Sion 2–2

Match report

Lugano Sion
18′
🟨 Itaitinga
1–0 M. Bottani ⚽
O. Custodio
40′
2–0 M. Facchinetti ⚽
M. Bottani
44′
Half-time 2–0
Numa Lavanchy 🟨
56′
63′
🔁 K. Bua
↦ Itaitinga
63′
🔁 D. Cavaré
↦ S. Theler
63′
🔁 G. Karlen
↦ T. Berdayes
Olivier Custodio 🟨
67′
S. Guidotti 🔁
↦ M. Bottani
71′
M. Amoura 🔁
↦ Asumah Abubakar
71′
78′
🔁 K. Keita
↦ S. Dié
80′
🟨 Abdul Keita
80′
🔁 M. Tosetti
↦ Marquinhos Cipriano
Yuri 🔁
↦ S. Lovrić
87′
K. Hajrizi 🔁
↦ O. Custodio
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Lugano

3-4-2-1
46 N. Baumann G
3 R. Ziegler D
5 M. Marić D
30 F. Daprelà D
7 M. Facchinetti M
16 N. Lavanchy M
14 J. Sabbatini M
20 O. Custodio M
24 S. Lovrić F
10 M. Bottani F
17 Asumah Abubakar F
Bench (9)
22 S. Guidotti
6 M. Amoura
21 Yuri
4 K. Hajrizi
11 K. Monzialo
8 C. Lungoyi
23 L. Srdic
99 N. Muci
58 S. Osigwe

Coach: M. Croci-Torti

Sion

4-4-2
18 K. Fickentscher G
34 B. Ndoye
5 J. Bamert D
52 Wesley M
77 S. Theler D
26 S. Dié M
14 A. Grgić M
70 Marquinhos Cipriano D
17 F. Stojilković F
76 Itaitinga M
25 T. Berdayes F
Bench (8)
33 K. Bua
97 D. Cavaré
11 G. Karlen
19 K. Keita
23 M. Tosetti
39 N. Saintini
4 A. Kabashi
1 T. Fayulu

Coach: P. Tramezzani

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

E Staubli · 28 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.