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Super League

Referee: S Horisberger

Zurich

U T U T T

3–0

Full-time

Lugano

U S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zurich Lugano

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,3

2,0

Scored

1,0

Conceded

2,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+0,0

This season — Super League · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 31%

29%

32%

Points per game

1,1

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

61%

35%

Both score Ø 55%

61%

48%

Average goals

2,9

2,2

Scored

1,4

1,1

Conceded

1,5

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%

13 Shots 8

7 Shots on target 0

3 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 4

8 Corners 4

1 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 18

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Zurich 8. · Lugano 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Young Boys	30	20	9	1	+35	69
2	Basel	32	13	8	11	+7	47
3	Servette	31	12	8	11	-7	44
4	Lugano	31	10	13	8	+2	43
5	Luzern	32	11	9	12	+4	42
6	Lausanne	30	11	8	11	+3	41
7	St. Gallen	32	9	10	13	-6	37
8	Zurich	31	9	8	14	-6	35
9	Vaduz	32	8	9	15	-17	33
10	Sion	31	6	12	13	-15	30

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Young Boys	15	11	3	1	+17	36
2	Lausanne	16	9	1	6	+6	28
3	Basel	16	7	6	3	+8	27
4	Luzern	16	6	7	3	+11	25
5	St. Gallen	16	6	5	5	+2	23
6	Servette	15	5	7	3	+2	22
7	Lugano	16	6	4	6	-1	22
8	Zurich	15	4	4	7	+0	16
9	Vaduz	16	4	4	8	-9	16
10	Sion	15	3	6	6	-7	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Young Boys	15	9	6	0	+18	33
2	Servette	16	7	1	8	-9	22
3	Lugano	15	4	9	2	+3	21
4	Basel	16	6	2	8	-1	20
5	Zurich	16	5	4	7	-6	19
6	Luzern	16	5	2	9	-7	17
7	Vaduz	16	4	5	7	-8	17
8	Sion	16	3	6	7	-8	15
9	St. Gallen	16	3	5	8	-8	14
10	Lausanne	14	2	7	5	-3	13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.