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Super League

Referee: L Cibelli

Zurich

S S S S S

3–0

Full-time

Lugano

S U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zurich Lugano

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

100%

33%

Points per game

3,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,8

Scored

2,5

1,0

Conceded

0,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

+2,0

-0,8

This season — Super League · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 60%

70%

50%

Points per game

2,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

75%

40%

Both score Ø 58%

65%

50%

Average goals

3,7

2,7

Scored

2,4

1,4

Conceded

1,4

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

38% Possession 62%

17 Shots 13

7 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 4

1 Offside 0

7 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Zurich 1. · Lugano 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Zurich	20	14	4	2	+20	46
2	Young Boys	21	11	6	4	+24	39
3	Basel	21	9	10	2	+20	37
4	Lugano	20	10	3	7	+1	33
5	Servette	21	8	4	9	-5	28
6	Grasshoppers	21	6	8	7	+4	26
7	Sion	20	7	4	9	-9	25
8	St. Gallen	21	6	5	10	-9	23
9	Lausanne	21	2	6	13	-26	12
10	Luzern	20	1	8	11	-20	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Zurich	10	8	2	0	+16	26
2	Young Boys	11	7	3	1	+11	24
3	Lugano	10	6	2	2	+2	20
4	Basel	10	4	5	1	+12	17
5	Sion	10	5	1	4	+3	16
6	St. Gallen	11	3	5	3	+0	14
7	Servette	10	4	2	4	-1	14
8	Grasshoppers	10	3	4	3	+2	13
9	Lausanne	11	1	3	7	-17	6
10	Luzern	10	1	2	7	-10	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Basel	11	5	5	1	+8	20
2	Zurich	10	6	2	2	+4	20
3	Young Boys	10	4	3	3	+13	15
4	Servette	11	4	2	5	-4	14
5	Grasshoppers	11	3	4	4	+2	13
6	Lugano	10	4	1	5	-1	13
7	St. Gallen	10	3	0	7	-9	9
8	Sion	10	2	3	5	-12	9
9	Lausanne	10	1	3	6	-9	6
10	Luzern	10	0	6	4	-10	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.