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Super League
Referee: S Schärer
Zurich
S S S U T
2–3
Full-time
Luzern
T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zurich Luzern
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
83%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,5
3,8
Scored
2,3
2,5
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+1,2
This season — Super League · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 45%
66%
23%
Points per game
2,2
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
69%
60%
Both score Ø 66%
63%
69%
Average goals
3,4
3,2
Scored
2,2
1,4
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,9
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

51% Possession 49%
18 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
9 Corners 6
0 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zurich 1. · Luzern 9. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Zurich 35 23 7 5 +33 76
2 Basel 35 14 17 4 +28 59
3 Young Boys 35 15 12 8 +27 57
4 Lugano 35 16 6 13 -3 54
5 St. Gallen 35 13 8 14 +1 47
6 Servette 35 12 7 16 -16 43
7 Grasshoppers 35 9 13 13 -1 40
8 Sion 35 11 7 17 -21 40
9 Luzern 35 8 13 14 -13 37
10 Lausanne 35 4 10 21 -35 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

2. Mar -22 Luzern – Zurich 0–2 4. Dec -21 Zurich – Luzern 4–0 8. Aug -21 Luzern – Zurich 1–3 25. Apr -21 Luzern – Zurich 3–1 4. Mar -21 Zurich – Luzern 1–2

Match report

Zurich Luzern
1–0 A. Tosin ⚽
A. Ceesay
2′
2–0 A. Ceesay ⚽
Adrià Guerrero
27′
38′
⚽ I. Ndiaye 2–1
A. Jashari
45′
⚽ S. Campo 2–2
Asumah Abubakar
Half-time 2–3
55′
⚽ F. Ugrinic 2–3
S. Campo
S. Seiler 🔁
↦ B. Džemaili
60′
B. Krasniqi 🔁
↦ A. Marchesano
60′
64′
🔁 M. Schulz
↦ S. Campo
64′
🔁 M. Kvasina
↦ D. Sorgić
69′
🟨 Filip Ugrinic
74′
🔁 V. Tasar
↦ Asumah Abubakar
74′
🔁 P. Schürpf
↦ I. Ndiaye
F. Rohner 🔁
↦ F. Aliti
75′
B. Kramer 🔁
↦ A. Ceesay
75′
A. Ćorić 🔁
↦ O. Doumbia
82′
82′
🔁 L. Emini
↦ F. Ugrinic
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Zurich

3-1-4-2
25 Y. Brecher G
19 N. Boranijašević M
6 F. Aliti D
31 M. Kryeziu D
3 Adrià Guerrero M
2 L. Kamberi D
21 B. Džemaili M
10 A. Marchesano M
20 O. Doumbia M
9 A. Ceesay F
15 A. Tosin F
Bench (9)
33 S. Seiler
7 B. Krasniqi
23 F. Rohner
18 B. Kramer
24 A. Ćorić
39 A. Gogia
16 M. Hornschuh
1 Ž. Kostadinović
28 K. Mets

Coach: A. Breitenreiter

Luzern

4-2-3-1
32 M. Müller G
5 D. Simani D
13 M. Frýdek D
2 M. Dräger D
46 M. Burch D
10 S. Campo M
19 F. Ugrinic M
7 I. Ndiaye M
30 A. Jashari M
9 D. Sorgić F
21 Asumah Abubakar M
Bench (8)
15 M. Schulz
27 M. Kvasina
16 V. Tasar
11 P. Schürpf
31 L. Emini
17 S. Grether
90 V. Vasić
34 S. Sidler

Coach: M. Frick

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B ✓
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Schärer · 129 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.