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Super League

Referee: U Schnyder

Lugano

S T T S S

3–1

Full-time

Luzern

U U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano Luzern

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,5

2,3

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,0

This season — Super League · 12/13 matches

Win Ø 29%

50%

Points per game

1,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

33%

38%

Both score Ø 68%

50%

85%

Average goals

2,6

3,1

Scored

1,4

1,3

Conceded

1,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

44% Possession 56%

11 Shots 13

7 Shots on target 4

0 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 4

2 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lugano 4. · Luzern 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Zurich	14	8	4	2	+8	28
2	Basel	13	7	5	1	+17	26
3	Young Boys	12	6	4	2	+15	22
4	Lugano	12	6	2	4	+3	20
5	Grasshoppers	13	4	6	3	+4	18
6	St. Gallen	14	4	3	7	-9	15
7	Sion	14	4	3	7	-12	15
8	Servette	13	3	3	7	-8	12
9	Lausanne	14	2	5	7	-12	11
10	Luzern	13	1	7	5	-6	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Basel	7	4	2	1	+12	14
2	Zurich	6	4	2	0	+8	14
3	Grasshoppers	7	3	3	1	+5	12
4	Young Boys	5	3	2	0	+6	11
5	Lugano	6	3	2	1	+2	11
6	St. Gallen	7	2	3	2	+0	9
7	Servette	7	2	1	4	-3	7
8	Sion	7	2	1	4	-3	7
9	Lausanne	7	1	3	3	-6	6
10	Luzern	7	1	2	4	-3	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Zurich	8	4	2	2	+0	14
2	Basel	6	3	3	0	+5	12
3	Young Boys	7	3	2	2	+9	11
4	Lugano	6	3	0	3	+1	9
5	Sion	7	2	2	3	-9	8
6	Grasshoppers	6	1	3	2	-1	6
7	St. Gallen	7	2	0	5	-9	6
8	Luzern	6	0	5	1	-3	5
9	Servette	6	1	2	3	-5	5
10	Lausanne	7	1	2	4	-6	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.