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Super League

Referee: L Cibelli

Basel

S T U U U

2–1

Full-time

Lugano

T U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Basel Lugano

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

17%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

17%

83%

Average goals

1,2

3,5

Scored

0,7

1,5

Conceded

0,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,5

This season — Super League · 35/35 matches

Win Ø 43%

40%

46%

Points per game

1,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

51%

54%

Both score Ø 57%

60%

54%

Average goals

3,1

2,9

Scored

1,9

1,4

Conceded

1,1

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

51% Possession 49%

7 Shots 8

6 Shots on target 3

0 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

1 Corners 5

1 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 11

4 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 1

The table before the match Basel 2. · Lugano 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Zurich	35	23	7	5	+33	76
2	Basel	35	14	17	4	+28	59
3	Young Boys	35	15	12	8	+27	57
4	Lugano	35	16	6	13	-3	54
5	St. Gallen	35	13	8	14	+1	47
6	Servette	35	12	7	16	-16	43
7	Grasshoppers	35	9	13	13	-1	40
8	Sion	35	11	7	17	-21	40
9	Luzern	35	8	13	14	-13	37
10	Lausanne	35	4	10	21	-35	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Zurich	17	12	4	1	+23	40
2	Young Boys	17	10	5	2	+17	35
3	Lugano	18	10	3	5	+3	33
4	Basel	17	7	8	2	+18	29
5	Servette	18	7	5	6	-1	26
6	St. Gallen	17	6	7	4	+5	25
7	Luzern	18	6	4	8	-2	22
8	Grasshoppers	18	5	6	7	-1	21
9	Sion	17	6	3	8	-5	21
10	Lausanne	18	3	5	10	-15	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Zurich	18	11	3	4	+10	36
2	Basel	18	7	9	2	+10	30
3	Young Boys	18	5	7	6	+10	22
4	St. Gallen	18	7	1	10	-4	22
5	Lugano	17	6	3	8	-6	21
6	Grasshoppers	17	4	7	6	+0	19
7	Sion	18	5	4	9	-16	19
8	Servette	17	5	2	10	-15	17
9	Luzern	17	2	9	6	-11	15
10	Lausanne	17	1	5	11	-20	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.