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Super League
Referee: A Dudic
Lugano
T S S T U
1–1
Full-time
Grasshoppers
U S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano Grasshoppers
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
This season — Super League · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 29%
40%
17%
Points per game
1,4
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
40%
33%
Both score Ø 64%
60%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
1,4
1,0
Conceded
1,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

39% Possession 61%
9 Shots 17
1 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 3
4 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lugano 6. · Grasshoppers 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Basel 7 4 3 0 +13 15
2 Zurich 7 4 2 1 +3 14
3 Young Boys 6 3 2 1 +9 11
4 Servette 7 3 2 2 +2 11
5 Sion 6 2 2 2 -4 8
6 Lugano 5 2 1 2 +0 7
7 Grasshoppers 6 1 3 2 -1 6
8 St. Gallen 7 1 3 3 -6 6
9 Luzern 6 0 3 3 -6 3
10 Lausanne 7 0 3 4 -10 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lugano Grasshoppers
Half-time 0–1
0–1 G. Margreitter
own goal
50′
Yuri 🔁
↦ R. Ziegler
60′
M. Bottani 🔁
↦ M. Amoura
60′
64′
🔁 F. Momoh
↦ L. Campana
64′
🔁 Léo Bonatini
↦ K. Sène
64′
🔁 A. Abrashi
↦ D. Diani
C. Lungoyi 🔁
↦ Asumah Abubakar
66′
69′
🔁 E. Lenjani
↦ A. Arigoni
76′
🔁 P. Pušić
↦ H. Kawabe
79′
🟨 Amir Abrashi
H. Mahmoud 🔁
↦ S. Guidotti
86′
91′
G. Margreitter 0–2
E. Lenjani
Olivier Custodio 🟨
94′
Olivier Custodio ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
95′
95′
🟨 Dominik Schmid
95′
ℹ️ Olivier Custodio
VAR: Penalty cancelled
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Lugano

3-5-2
58 S. Osigwe G
3 R. Ziegler D
30 F. Daprelà D
7 M. Facchinetti M
16 N. Lavanchy M
4 K. Hajrizi D
14 J. Sabbatini M
20 O. Custodio M
22 S. Guidotti M
6 M. Amoura F
17 Asumah Abubakar F
Bench (9)
21 Yuri
10 M. Bottani
8 C. Lungoyi
29 H. Mahmoud
9 Luis Phelipe
19 Ž. Celar
11 K. Monzialo
99 N. Muci
26 A. Saipi

Coach: M. Croci-Torti

Grasshoppers

3-4-1-2
1 André Moreira G
33 G. Margreitter D
41 N. Loosli D
31 D. Schmid M
77 B. Bolla M
34 A. Arigoni D
40 H. Kawabe F
28 C. Herc M
29 D. Diani M
19 L. Campana F
17 K. Sène F
Bench (9)
59 F. Momoh
11 Léo Bonatini
6 A. Abrashi
3 E. Lenjani
10 P. Pušić
24 Toti
7 Nuno da Silva
51 F. Hoxha
27 M. Matic

Coach: G. Contini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Dudic · 95 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.