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Super League
Referee: S Wolfensberger
Grasshoppers
T T S U T
1–2
Full-time
Lugano
T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Grasshoppers Lugano
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
1,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,3
This season — Super League · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 37%
26%
48%
Points per game
1,2
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
52%
39%
Both score Ø 57%
70%
43%
Average goals
3,1
2,6
Scored
1,6
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

55% Possession 45%
17 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
11 Corners 6
1 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Grasshoppers 8. · Lugano 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Zurich 24 17 5 2 +27 56
2 Young Boys 24 12 7 5 +25 43
3 Basel 23 10 10 3 +21 40
4 Lugano 23 11 3 9 -2 36
5 Servette 24 9 5 10 -6 32
6 St. Gallen 23 8 5 10 -5 29
7 Sion 24 8 5 11 -11 29
8 Grasshoppers 23 6 9 8 +2 27
9 Luzern 24 3 9 12 -20 18
10 Lausanne 24 2 6 16 -31 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Grasshoppers Lugano
17′
Ž. Celar 0–1
M. Bottani
Half-time 0–1
E. Lenjani 🔁
↦ Bruno Jordão
46′
F. Momoh 🔁
↦ Léo Bonatini
46′
Ermir Lenjani 🟨
56′
71′
Ž. Celar 0–2
S. Lovrić
73′
🔁 M. Haile-Selassie
↦ M. Bottani
G. Morandi 🔁
↦ H. Kawabe
75′
Nuno da Silva 🔁
↦ B. Bolla
75′
1–2 K. Sène
E. Lenjani
77′
82′
🔁 K. Rüegg
↦ S. Lovrić
D. Kacuri 🔁
↦ C. Herc
86′
86′
🔁 K. Hajrizi
↦ M. Facchinetti
90′
🟨 Mijat Marić
94′
🟨 Žan Celar
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Grasshoppers

3-4-1-2
1 André Moreira G
33 G. Margreitter D
4 Li Lei D
31 D. Schmid M
77 B. Bolla M
34 A. Arigoni D
40 H. Kawabe F
28 C. Herc M
20 Bruno Jordão M
11 Léo Bonatini F
17 K. Sène F
Bench (9)
3 E. Lenjani
59 F. Momoh
22 G. Morandi
7 Nuno da Silva
58 D. Kacuri
29 Jeong Sang-Bin
27 M. Matic
15 A. Seko
41 N. Loosli

Coach: G. Contini

Lugano

3-1-4-2
26 A. Saipi G
3 R. Ziegler D
5 M. Marić D
30 F. Daprelà D
7 M. Facchinetti M
16 N. Lavanchy M
14 J. Sabbatini M
20 O. Custodio M
24 S. Lovrić M
10 M. Bottani F
19 Ž. Celar F
Bench (9)
18 M. Haile-Selassie
27 K. Rüegg
4 K. Hajrizi
58 S. Osigwe
17 M. Valenzuela
29 H. Mahmoud
8 A. Durrer
99 N. Muci
31 I. Aliseda

Coach: M. Croci-Torti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Wolfensberger · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.