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Super League
Referee: U Schnyder
Lugano
T S S T S
2–1
Full-time
St. Gallen
U S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano St. Gallen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,7
Scored
1,2
2,2
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,7
This season — Super League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
2,0
3,5
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

42% Possession 58%
12 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 12
2 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 8
4 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lugano 6. · St. Gallen 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Basel 2 2 0 0 +7 6
2 Zurich 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 St. Gallen 2 1 1 0 +1 4
4 Young Boys 3 1 1 1 +0 4
5 Grasshoppers 3 1 1 1 +0 4
6 Lugano 2 1 0 1 +0 3
7 Servette 2 1 0 1 -1 3
8 Sion 3 1 0 2 -5 3
9 Luzern 2 0 1 1 -1 1
10 Lausanne 3 0 0 3 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lugano St. Gallen
1–0 N. Lavanchy
K. Hajrizi
16′
2–0 R. Ziegler
32′
Half-time 2–0
Yuri 🔁
↦ M. Facchinetti
46′
M. Čovilo 🔁
↦ S. Lovrić
46′
46′
🔁 F. Schubert
↦ K. Duah
46′
🔁 B. Babic
↦ A. Besio
46′
🔁 J. Guillemenot
↦ I. Schmidt
46′
🔁 B. Stillhart
↦ Euclides Cabral
Reto Ziegler 🟨
53′
53′
Víctor Ruiz 2–1
Jonathan Sabbatini 🟨
62′
Luis Phelipe 🔁
↦ M. Bottani
74′
Yuri 🟨
78′
81′
🔁 T. Staubli
↦ L. Görtler
D. Ba 🔁
↦ Asumah Abubakar
82′
Olivier Custodio 🟨
83′
M. Marić 🔁
↦ O. Custodio
86′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Lugano

3-1-4-2
46 N. Baumann G
3 R. Ziegler D
30 F. Daprelà D
7 M. Facchinetti M
16 N. Lavanchy M
4 K. Hajrizi D
14 J. Sabbatini M
20 O. Custodio M
24 S. Lovrić M
10 M. Bottani F
17 Asumah Abubakar F
Bench (7)
21 Yuri
6 M. Čovilo
9 Luis Phelipe
19 D. Ba
5 M. Marić
58 S. Osigwe
99 N. Muci

Coach: Abel Braga

St. Gallen

4-3-1-2
1 L. Ati-Zigi G
24 M. Kempter D
4 L. Stergiou D
15 Euclides Cabral D
16 L. Görtler M
8 O. Diakité M
11 K. Duah F
23 B. Fazliji D
33 I. Schmidt M
10 Víctor Ruiz M
31 A. Besio F
Bench (7)
7 F. Schubert
34 B. Babic
9 J. Guillemenot
6 B. Stillhart
26 T. Staubli
13 L. Münst
18 L. Watkowiak

Coach: P. Zeidler

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

U Schnyder · 155 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.