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Super League
Referee: A Dudic
Lugano
U S T S T
3–3
Full-time
St. Gallen
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano St. Gallen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
1,8
4,0
Scored
0,8
2,0
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
This season — Super League · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 47%
29%
64%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
46%
82%
Both score Ø 61%
46%
75%
Average goals
2,2
3,6
Scored
1,0
2,1
Conceded
1,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

47% Possession 53%
13 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 4
3 Offside 5
9 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lugano 7. · St. Gallen 2. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 29 17 7 5 +28 58
2 St. Gallen 28 18 3 7 +20 57
3 Basel 29 15 4 10 +26 49
4 Servette 29 11 11 7 +15 44
5 Zurich 29 12 6 11 -12 42
6 Luzern 29 12 5 12 -3 41
7 Lugano 28 8 9 11 -4 33
8 Sion 29 7 6 16 -18 27
9 Thun 29 7 4 18 -30 25
10 Xamax 29 4 11 14 -22 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

26. Jan -20 St. Gallen – Lugano 3–1 27. Oct -19 Lugano – St. Gallen 1–3 25. Aug -19 St. Gallen – Lugano 3–2

Match report

Lugano St. Gallen
1–0 J. Sabbatini ⚽
10′
23′
🔁 André Ribeiro
↦ Y. Letard
26′
⚽ Jordi Quintillà 1–1
39′
⚽ Víctor Ruiz 1–2
L. Görtler
M. Covilo 🟨
41′
Half-time 1–2
F. Holender 🔁
↦ R. Janga
46′
S. Lovric 🔁
↦ S. Guidotti
46′
2–2 A. Gerndt ⚽
N. Lavanchy
46′
54′
⚽ E. Demirović 2–3
L. Görtler
68′
🔁 V. Rüfli
↦ Víctor Ruiz
Y. Eloge 🟨
74′
C. Lungoyi 🔁
↦ A. Gerndt
76′
M. Maric 🟨
77′
Jefferson 🔁
↦ D. Pavlovic
79′
81′
🟨 S. Hefti
3–3 N. Lavanchy ⚽
J. Sabbatini
83′
84′
🔁 A. Bakayoko
↦ C. Itten
84′
🔁 M. Nuhu
↦ E. Demirović
90′
🟨 A. Ribeiro
92′
🟨 L. Gortler
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Lugano

3-5-2
46 N. Baumann G
5 M. Marić D
23 D. Pavlovic D
16 N. Lavanchy M
4 A. Kecskés D
18 E. Yao M
6 M. Čovilo M
14 J. Sabbatini M
22 S. Guidotti M
19 A. Gerndt F
9 R. Janga F
Bench (7)
11 F. Holender
24 S. Lovric
8 C. Lungoyi
3 Jefferson
1 D. da Costa
47 R. Selasi
27 F. Sasere

Coach: M. Jacobacci

St. Gallen

4-3-1-2
30 L. Ati-Zigi G
21 M. Muheim D
36 S. Hefti D
98 Y. Letard D
4 L. Stergiou D
8 Jordi Quintillà M
23 B. Fazliji M
16 L. Görtler M
13 C. Itten F
7 Víctor Ruiz M
10 E. Demirović F
Bench (7)
19 André Ribeiro
99 V. Rüfli
11 A. Bakayoko
33 M. Nuhu
26 T. Staubli
29 A. Kräuchi
18 J. Klinsmann

Coach: P. Zeidler

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U ✓
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Dudic · 93 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.