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Super League

Referee: S Schärer

Lugano

U U T S U

1–3

Full-time

St. Gallen

S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano St. Gallen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

17%

83%

Points per game

1,0

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

1,5

3,2

Scored

0,7

2,3

Conceded

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,5

This season — Super League · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 37%

18%

55%

Points per game

0,9

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

36%

73%

Both score Ø 55%

36%

73%

Average goals

1,9

3,1

Scored

0,9

1,8

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

54% Possession 46%

15 Shots 17

4 Shots on target 12

4 Blocked shots 1

9 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 4

2 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 16

4 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lugano 9. · St. Gallen 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Basel	11	8	2	1	+18	26
2	Young Boys	11	7	4	0	+16	25
3	St. Gallen	11	6	2	3	+6	20
4	Sion	12	5	2	5	-1	17
5	Luzern	12	4	3	5	-2	15
6	Servette	12	2	6	4	-1	12
7	Zurich	11	3	3	5	-14	12
8	Xamax	12	2	5	5	-7	11
9	Lugano	11	2	4	5	-1	10
10	Thun	11	1	3	7	-14	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Basel	6	5	0	1	+11	15
2	Young Boys	6	4	2	0	+10	14
3	St. Gallen	6	3	1	2	+4	10
4	Luzern	5	2	2	1	+1	8
5	Sion	6	2	1	3	-2	7
6	Zurich	5	2	1	2	-5	7
7	Servette	6	1	3	2	-1	6
8	Xamax	6	1	2	3	-4	5
9	Lugano	5	0	3	2	-2	3
10	Thun	6	0	2	4	-8	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Basel	5	3	2	0	+7	11
2	Young Boys	5	3	2	0	+6	11
3	St. Gallen	5	3	1	1	+2	10
4	Sion	6	3	1	2	+1	10
5	Lugano	6	2	1	3	+1	7
6	Luzern	7	2	1	4	-3	7
7	Servette	6	1	3	2	+0	6
8	Xamax	6	1	3	2	-3	6
9	Zurich	6	1	2	3	-9	5
10	Thun	5	1	1	3	-6	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.