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Super League

Referee: A Dudic

Lugano

S S U U T

1–1

Full-time

Xamax

T T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano Xamax

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,2

3,0

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,2

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-1,0

This season — Super League · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 19%

26%

11%

Points per game

1,1

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

47%

53%

Both score Ø 55%

42%

68%

Average goals

2,2

2,9

Scored

1,0

1,1

Conceded

1,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

48% Possession 52%

12 Shots 17

3 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 5

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 5

2 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 17

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lugano 6. · Xamax 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Young Boys	19	12	5	2	+17	41
2	St. Gallen	19	12	2	5	+19	38
3	Basel	19	11	3	5	+22	36
4	Servette	19	8	6	5	+11	30
5	Zurich	19	9	3	7	-10	30
6	Lugano	19	5	6	8	-3	21
7	Luzern	19	6	3	10	-9	21
8	Sion	19	6	3	10	-11	21
9	Xamax	19	2	8	9	-13	14
10	Thun	19	3	3	13	-23	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Young Boys	10	8	2	0	+16	26
2	Basel	9	7	1	1	+18	22
3	St. Gallen	10	6	1	3	+10	19
4	Zurich	10	5	1	4	-5	16
5	Servette	9	4	3	2	+5	15
6	Sion	9	3	2	4	-2	11
7	Luzern	9	3	2	4	-3	11
8	Lugano	9	1	4	4	-6	7
9	Xamax	10	1	3	6	-7	6
10	Thun	10	1	2	7	-14	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St. Gallen	9	6	1	2	+9	19
2	Servette	10	4	3	3	+6	15
3	Young Boys	9	4	3	2	+1	15
4	Basel	10	4	2	4	+4	14
5	Lugano	10	4	2	4	+3	14
6	Zurich	9	4	2	3	-5	14
7	Luzern	10	3	1	6	-6	10
8	Sion	10	3	1	6	-9	10
9	Xamax	9	1	5	3	-6	8
10	Thun	9	2	1	6	-9	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.