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Europa League
Referee: Elcin Masiyev
Freiburg
T U S S T
1–0
Full-time
Salzburg
U T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Freiburg Salzburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 40%
60%
20%
Points per game
2,2
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
40%
40%
Both score Ø 50%
60%
40%
Average goals
2,2
3,0
Scored
1,6
1,0
Conceded
0,6
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,61 xG 0,43
59% Possession 41%
28 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 3
11 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
10 Corners 2
0 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.