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Bundesliga
Referee: A Talic
1–2
Full-time
Hartberg
T U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolfsberger AC Hartberg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Bundesliga · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
58%
58%
Both score Ø 58%
58%
58%
Average goals
2,7
2,9
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,54 xG 0,71
79% Possession 21%
24 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 3
10 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 0
2 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Wolfsberger AC 3. · Hartberg 5.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Salzburg 12 7 3 2 +13 +4.9 24
2 SK Rapid 12 7 2 3 +5 +0.1 23
3 Wolfsberger AC 12 6 3 3 +8 -1.3 21
4 Sturm Graz 11 7 0 4 +8 +3.6 21
5 Hartberg 12 4 4 4 +1 -0.3 16
6 Austria Vienna 12 5 1 6 -4 -0.1 16
7 LASK 12 5 1 6 -4 -4.3 16
8 Altach 12 3 5 4 -2 -0.5 14
9 Ried 12 4 2 6 -4 -3.2 14
10 Tirol 11 3 4 4 -1 +5.3 13
11 BW Linz 12 3 1 8 -8 -2.9 10
12 Grazer AK 12 1 6 5 -12 -1.4 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wolfsberger AC Hartberg
13′
🟨 Dominik Prokop
28′
M. Hennig 0–1
T. Kainz
Half-time 0–1
46′
🟨 Marco Hoffmann
49′
🟨 Marco Hoffmann
49′
🟥 Marco Hoffmann
E. Kojzek 🔁
↦ M. Pink
55′
56′
🔁 Y. Diarra
↦ D. Prokop
D. Atanga 🔁
↦ M. Sulzner
62′
Erik Kojzek 🟨
68′
74′
E. Havel 0–2
Y. Diarra
78′
🔁 L. Fridrikas
↦ E. Havel
E. Agyeman 🔁
↦ D. Baumgartner
80′
A. Gattermayer 🔁
↦ D. Avdijaj
80′
0–3 D. Vincze
own goal
86′
René Renner 🟥
96′
René Renner ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
96′
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Wolfsberger AC

3-4-1-2
12 N. Polster G
22 D. Baumgartner D
27 C. Nwaiwu D
37 N. Wimmer D
2 B. Matic M
30 M. Sulzner M
18 A. Schopf M
77 R. Renner M
20 D. Zukic F
32 M. Pink F
10 D. Avdijaj F
Bench (9)
1 L. Gutlbauer
25 A. Drame
31 F. Wohlmuth
15 C. Diabate
35 E. Chukwu
34 E. Agyeman
9 E. Kojzek
17 D. Atanga
7 A. Gattermayer

Coach: Ismail Atalan

Hartberg

3-4-3
40 T. Hulsmann G
3 D. Vincze D
19 L. Spendlhofer D
18 F. Wilfinger D
95 D. Kovacevic M
23 T. Kainz M
4 B. Markus M
33 M. Hennig M
22 M. Hoffmann
10 D. Prokop F
7 E. Havel F
Bench (9)
1 A. Helac
5 Y. Diarra
6 H. Coulibaly
9 P. Mijic
11 M. Fillafer
16 J. Golles
20 P. Bratschko
30 L. Fridrikas
77 D. Korherr

Coach: Manfred Schmid

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Talic · 36 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.