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Bundesliga
Referee: D Pfister
2–1
Full-time
Salzburg
S S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolfsberger AC Salzburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,8
This season — Bundesliga · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 48%
48%
48%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
63%
48%
Both score Ø 58%
63%
52%
Average goals
3,2
2,6
Scored
2,0
1,6
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

24% Possession 76%
13 Shots 15
7 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
2 Corners 1
0 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Wolfsberger AC 5. · Salzburg 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sturm Graz 27 17 5 5 +27 56
2 Austria Vienna 27 16 5 6 +16 53
3 LASK 28 15 4 9 +14 49
4 Salzburg 27 13 9 5 +15 48
5 Wolfsberger AC 27 13 6 8 +19 45
6 SK Rapid 27 10 7 10 +1 37
7 BW Linz 27 11 3 13 -4 36
8 Hartberg 28 8 10 10 -4 34
9 Tirol 28 6 8 14 -15 26
10 A. Klagenfurt 28 6 7 15 -33 25
11 Altach 28 5 8 15 -15 23
12 Grazer AK 28 4 10 14 -21 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wolfsberger AC Salzburg
1–0 C. Nwaiwu
E. Omić
15′
27′
🔁 A. Daghim
↦ M. Yeo
Dominik Baumgartner 🟨
30′
40′
🟨 Tim Trummer
Half-time 1–0
53′
🟨 Mamady Diambou
2–0 E. Kojzek
E. Agyemang
54′
58′
🟨 Adam Daghim
59′
🔁 E. Baidoo
↦ M. Diambou
59′
🔁 P. Ratkov
↦ O. Gloukh
65′
🟨 Alexander Schlager
D. Atanga 🔁
↦ E. Agyemang
70′
M. Pink 🔁
↦ E. Kojzek
70′
T. Ballo 🔁
↦ A. Gattermayer
70′
M. Diabaté 🔁
↦ N. Wimmer
81′
P. Müller 🔁
↦ S. Altunashvili
92′
94′
D. Nene 2–1
95′
🟨 Samson Baidoo
95′
🟨 Samson Baidoo
95′
🟥 Samson Baidoo
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Wolfsberger AC

5-4-1
12 N. Polster G
2 B. Matić D
22 D. Baumgartner D
27 C. Nwaiwu D
37 N. Wimmer D
31 M. Ullmann D
34 E. Agyemang M
44 E. Omić M
19 S. Altunashvili M
7 A. Gattermayer M
47 E. Kojzek F
Bench (7)
17 D. Atanga
32 M. Pink
11 T. Ballo
5 M. Diabaté
14 P. Müller
1 L. Gütlbauer
13 T. Gruber

Coach: D. Kühbauer

Salzburg

4-2-3-1
24 A. Schlager G
37 T. Trummer D
23 J. Gadou D
6 S. Baidoo D
3 A. Terzić D
18 M. Bidstrup M
15 M. Diambou M
45 D. Nene M
49 M. Yeo M
30 O. Gloukh M
11 Y. Vertessen F
Bench (7)
28 A. Daghim
20 E. Baidoo
21 P. Ratkov
1 J. Blaswich
2 M. Caufriez
38 V. Sulzbacher
4 H. Blank

Coach: T. Letsch

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Pfister · 32 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.