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Bundesliga
Referee: I Simsek
Grazer AK
T U U S S
3–4
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Grazer AK Wolfsberger AC
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
This season — Bundesliga · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 29%
14%
43%
Points per game
0,9
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
57%
57%
Both score Ø 68%
79%
57%
Average goals
3,1
3,1
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,9
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

24% Possession 76%
10 Shots 25
6 Shots on target 7
1 Blocked shots 9
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 11
0 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 6
6 Yellow cards 2
2 Red cards 0
The table before the match Grazer AK 11. · Wolfsberger AC 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sturm Graz 14 10 2 2 +21 32
2 Austria Vienna 14 8 3 3 +7 27
3 SK Rapid 14 7 6 1 +6 27
4 Wolfsberger AC 14 6 2 6 +6 20
5 LASK 14 6 2 6 +1 20
6 Salzburg 12 5 3 4 +0 18
7 BW Linz 14 5 2 7 -3 17
8 Hartberg 13 4 4 5 -1 16
9 A. Klagenfurt 13 4 3 6 -14 15
10 Tirol 14 3 4 7 -7 13
11 Grazer AK 14 2 6 6 -8 12
12 Altach 14 2 3 9 -8 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Grazer AK Wolfsberger AC
1–0 D. Maderner
C. Lichtenberger
8′
2–0 T. Cipot
D. Maderner
11′
Marco Perchtold ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
27′
Marco Perchtold 🟥
28′
31′
🟨 Thierno Ballo
3–0 M. Gantschnig
M. Kreuzriegler
36′
Tio Cipot 🟨
42′
Half-time 3–0
D. Dressel 🔁
↦ T. Cipot
46′
46′
🔁 B. Matić
↦ A. Jašić
46′
🔁 E. Kojzek
↦ S. Altunashvili
46′
🔁 E. Agyemang
↦ T. Ballo
R. Vučić 🔁
↦ C. Lichtenberger
57′
62′
ℹ️ Dominik Baumgartner
VAR: Penalty cancelled
64′
🔁 D. Atanga
↦ D. Zukić
Petar Filipović 🟨
71′
71′
🟨 Nicolas Wimmer
77′
ℹ️ Thomas Sabitzer
VAR: Penalty confirmed
80′
🔁 A. Gattermayer
↦ T. Sabitzer
80′
D. Atanga 3–1
Dominik Frieser 🟨
82′
83′
A. Gattermayer 3–2
B. Matić
Daniel Maderner 🟨
86′
M. Lang 🔁
↦ M. Şatin
86′
Jacob Italiano 🟨
87′
Petar Filipović 🟨
89′
Petar Filipović 🟥
89′
92′
M. Lang 4–2
own goal
98′
A. Gattermayer 4–3
N. Wimmer
Full-time 4–3

Line-ups

Grazer AK

3-4-3
1 J. Meierhofer G
19 M. Gantschnig D
5 P. Filipović D
4 M. Kreuzriegler D
28 D. Frieser M
7 M. Şatin M
13 M. Perchtold M
14 J. Italiano M
10 C. Lichtenberger F
9 D. Maderner F
11 T. Cipot F
Bench (7)
24 D. Dressel
12 R. Vučić
21 M. Lang
22 F. Holzhacker
8 G. Zirngast
26 C. Nicht
18 A. Zaizen

Coach: R. Poms

Wolfsberger AC

3-4-1-2
12 N. Polster G
22 D. Baumgartner D
27 C. Nwaiwu D
37 N. Wimmer D
97 A. Jašić M
19 S. Altunashvili M
8 S. Piesinger M
31 M. Ullmann M
20 D. Zukić F
10 T. Sabitzer F
11 T. Ballo F
Bench (7)
2 B. Matić
47 E. Kojzek
34 E. Agyemang
17 D. Atanga
7 A. Gattermayer
44 E. Omić
21 D. Skubl

Coach: D. Kühbauer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

I Simsek · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.