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Bundesliga
Referee: J Weinberger
Sturm Graz
U U U S T
2–0
Full-time
Hartberg
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz Hartberg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,7
This season — Bundesliga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
1,0
3,0
Scored
0,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

53% Possession 47%
19 Shots 7
7 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 3
1 Offside 5
16 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sturm Graz 10. · Hartberg 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 Tirol 2 1 1 0 +1 4
3 Wolfsberger AC 1 1 0 0 +3 3
4 SK Rapid 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 LASK 2 1 0 1 +0 3
6 Altach 2 1 0 1 +0 3
7 BW Linz 2 1 0 1 -3 3
8 Grazer AK 2 0 1 1 -1 1
9 Hartberg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
10 Sturm Graz 1 0 0 1 -1 0
11 Austria Vienna 1 0 0 1 -1 0
12 A. Klagenfurt 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.