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Bundesliga

Referee: A Kijas

Tirol

T S S T T

2–2

Full-time

Sturm Graz

U T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tirol Sturm Graz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

3,3

3,0

Scored

1,5

Conceded

1,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,0

This season — Bundesliga · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 36%

22%

50%

Points per game

1,1

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

61%

78%

Both score Ø 64%

61%

67%

Average goals

3,3

3,5

Scored

1,4

2,1

Conceded

1,9

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

41% Possession 59%

4 Shots 19

2 Shots on target 8

1 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 0

2 Corners 1

0 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Tirol 10. · Sturm Graz 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	19	15	3	1	+31	48
2	Sturm Graz	18	9	4	5	+11	31
3	Wolfsberger AC	18	9	4	5	+3	31
4	A. Klagenfurt	18	6	7	5	-1	25
5	SK Rapid	19	6	6	7	-1	24
6	Ried	18	6	6	6	-10	24
7	Austria Vienna	18	4	9	5	+2	21
8	Hartberg	18	5	6	7	+0	21
9	LASK	18	5	5	8	-3	20
10	Tirol	18	4	7	7	-10	19
11	Admira	18	3	7	8	-4	16
12	Altach	18	3	4	11	-18	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	9	8	1	0	+22	25
2	Ried	9	5	4	0	+5	19
3	SK Rapid	10	5	1	4	+4	16
4	Wolfsberger AC	9	5	1	3	+4	16
5	Sturm Graz	9	4	3	2	+4	15
6	A. Klagenfurt	9	3	5	1	+0	14
7	Tirol	9	2	5	2	+3	11
8	Austria Vienna	9	2	5	2	+2	11
9	LASK	9	3	2	4	+0	11
10	Hartberg	9	2	3	4	-3	9
11	Admira	9	2	2	5	+1	8
12	Altach	9	1	2	6	-11	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	10	7	2	1	+9	23
2	Sturm Graz	9	5	1	3	+7	16
3	Wolfsberger AC	9	4	3	2	-1	15
4	Hartberg	9	3	3	3	+3	12
5	A. Klagenfurt	9	3	2	4	-1	11
6	Austria Vienna	9	2	4	3	+0	10
7	LASK	9	2	3	4	-3	9
8	Admira	9	1	5	3	-5	8
9	SK Rapid	9	1	5	3	-5	8
10	Altach	9	2	2	5	-7	8
11	Tirol	9	2	2	5	-13	8
12	Ried	9	1	2	6	-15	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.