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Bundesliga
Referee: M Schüttengruber
A. Klagenfurt
U S T U S
0–2
Full-time
Sturm Graz
S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

A. Klagenfurt Sturm Graz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,5
2,0
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,7
This season — Bundesliga · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 36%
29%
43%
Points per game
1,1
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
57%
43%
Both score Ø 57%
57%
57%
Average goals
3,6
2,1
Scored
1,6
1,4
Conceded
2,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%
7 Shots 17
2 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 2
0 Offside 6
7 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match A. Klagenfurt 8. · Sturm Graz 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 8 7 0 1 +18 21
2 LASK 8 5 3 0 +11 18
3 Sturm Graz 7 3 3 1 +5 12
4 Austria Vienna 8 3 3 2 +1 12
5 A. Lustenau 8 3 3 2 -2 12
6 SK Rapid 7 3 1 3 -1 10
7 Wolfsberger AC 8 2 2 4 -3 8
8 A. Klagenfurt 7 2 2 3 -3 8
9 Tirol 8 2 2 4 -4 8
10 Hartberg 7 2 1 4 -6 7
11 Ried 8 1 2 5 -7 5
12 Altach 8 1 2 5 -9 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

A. Klagenfurt Sturm Graz
12′
🟨 Jon Gorenc Stanković
17′
ℹ️ Tomi Horvat
VAR: Goal cancelled
27′
🟨 Stefan Hierländer
Nicolas Wimmer 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–0
N. Đorić 🔁
↦ A. Irving
46′
K. Gkezos 🔁
↦ R. Benatelli
46′
46′
🔁 E. Emegha
↦ A. Ajeti
47′
🟨 Alexander Prass
61′
🔁 I. Ljubic
↦ S. Hierländer
61′
🔁 W. Bøving
↦ A. Prass
66′
I. Ljubic 0–1
67′
ℹ️ William Bøving
VAR: Goal confirmed
J. Arweiler 🔁
↦ C. Cvetko
70′
76′
🔁 A. Borković
↦ M. Sarkaria
T. Schumacher 🔁
↦ M. Moreira
81′
84′
🔁 D. Schnegg
↦ A. Dante
M. Blauensteiner 🔁
↦ S. Karweina
86′
94′
E. Emegha 0–2
95′
🟨 Emanuel Emegha
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

A. Klagenfurt

4-3-3
13 P. Menzel G
24 C. Wernitznig D
37 N. Wimmer D
31 T. Mahrer D
6 M. Moreira D
19 A. Irving M
20 R. Benatelli M
14 C. Cvetko M
9 S. Karweina F
32 M. Pink F
23 F. Rieder F
Bench (7)
4 N. Đorić
8 K. Gkezos
39 J. Arweiler
33 T. Schumacher
5 M. Blauensteiner
2 S. Bonnah
1 M. Knaller

Coach: P. Pacult

Sturm Graz

4-3-1-2
27 J. Siebenhandl G
24 S. Ingolitsch D
42 D. Affengruber D
5 G. Wüthrich D
44 A. Dante D
25 S. Hierländer M
4 J. Gorenc Stankovič M
8 A. Prass M
19 T. Horvat M
9 A. Ajeti F
11 M. Sarkaria F
Bench (7)
20 E. Emegha
30 I. Ljubic
15 W. Bøving
6 A. Borković
28 D. Schnegg
17 V. Demaku
32 T. Schützenauer

Coach: C. Ilzer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Schüttengruber · 58 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.