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Bundesliga

Referee: H Lechner

Sturm Graz

S S U U S

5–0

Full-time

Tirol

U U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz Tirol

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 92%

100%

83%

Average goals

3,7

2,5

Scored

2,5

1,0

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,5

This season — Bundesliga · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 29%

57%

Points per game

2,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

86%

43%

Both score Ø 93%

100%

86%

Average goals

3,7

2,4

Scored

2,3

1,0

Conceded

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,9

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

48% Possession 52%

22 Shots 12

9 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 3

1 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 5

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sturm Graz 2. · Tirol 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	7	7	0	0	+15	21
2	Sturm Graz	7	4	2	1	+6	14
3	Ried	8	3	3	2	-6	12
4	Hartberg	8	2	3	3	+1	9
5	Admira	8	2	3	3	+0	9
6	Altach	8	2	3	3	-2	9
7	Wolfsberger AC	8	2	3	3	-4	9
8	SK Rapid	7	2	2	3	+2	8
9	Austria Vienna	8	1	5	2	+0	8
10	A. Klagenfurt	7	2	2	3	-5	8
11	LASK	7	1	3	3	-4	6
12	Tirol	7	0	5	2	-3	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ried	4	3	1	0	+3	10
2	Salzburg	3	3	0	0	+9	9
3	A. Klagenfurt	3	2	1	0	+2	7
4	Sturm Graz	4	2	1	1	+1	7
5	SK Rapid	4	2	0	2	+3	6
6	Admira	4	1	2	1	+3	5
7	Austria Vienna	4	0	4	0	+0	4
8	Altach	4	1	1	2	-1	4
9	Wolfsberger AC	4	1	1	2	-2	4
10	Tirol	4	0	3	1	-2	3
11	LASK	4	0	2	2	-4	2
12	Hartberg	3	0	1	2	-2	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	4	4	0	0	+6	12
2	Hartberg	5	2	2	1	+3	8
3	Sturm Graz	3	2	1	0	+5	7
4	Altach	4	1	2	1	-1	5
5	Wolfsberger AC	4	1	2	1	-2	5
6	Austria Vienna	4	1	1	2	+0	4
7	LASK	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Admira	4	1	1	2	-3	4
9	Tirol	3	0	2	1	-1	2
10	SK Rapid	3	0	2	1	-1	2
11	Ried	4	0	2	2	-9	2
12	A. Klagenfurt	4	0	1	3	-7	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.