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Bundesliga
Referee: C Ciochirca
Salzburg
S U S S S
4–0
Full-time
Tirol
T T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salzburg Tirol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,8
4,8
Scored
2,5
2,0
Conceded
1,3
2,8
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,8
This season — Bundesliga · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 55%
77%
32%
Points per game
2,4
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
74%
58%
Both score Ø 65%
68%
61%
Average goals
4,0
3,5
Scored
2,9
1,7
Conceded
1,1
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,8
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

62% Possession 38%
17 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 7
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 5
0 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Salzburg 1. · Tirol 8. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 31 24 2 5 +57 74
2 SK Rapid 31 16 8 7 +21 56
3 Sturm Graz 31 15 8 8 +16 53
4 LASK 31 15 6 10 +17 51
5 Hartberg 32 12 11 9 -10 47
6 Wolfsberger AC 31 13 5 13 -8 44
7 Austria Vienna 32 11 9 12 +4 42
8 Tirol 31 10 8 13 -3 38
9 Altach 32 9 7 16 -22 34
10 Ried 32 8 9 15 -23 33
11 Admira 32 6 8 18 -31 26
12 St. Polten 32 5 9 18 -18 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

21. Apr -21 Tirol – Salzburg 3–2 13. Feb -21 Tirol – Salzburg 2–4 31. Oct -20 Salzburg – Tirol 5–0 7. Dec -19 Salzburg – Tirol 5–1 31. Aug -19 Tirol – Salzburg 1–5

Match report

Salzburg Tirol
1–0 Bernardo ⚽
8′
15′
🟨 D. Gugganig
2–0 M. Berisha ⚽
B. Aaronson
26′
38′
🟨 Z. Rogelj
3–0 M. Berisha ⚽
43′
Half-time 3–0
63′
🔁 J. Naschberger
↦ F. Toplitsch
63′
🔁 Z. Dedic
↦ T. Anselm
63′
🔁 B. Pranter
↦ F. Rieder
N. Okafor 🔁
↦ E. Mwepu
63′
R. Kristensen 🔁
↦ P. Farkas
63′
Z. Junuzovic 🔁
↦ M. Camara
63′
4–0 M. Berisha ⚽
B. Aaronson
66′
M. Berisha 🔁
↦ S. Koita
69′
Andre Ramalho 🔁
↦ P. Daka
74′
77′
🔁 R. Smith
↦ J. Golles
Bernardo 🟨
87′
88′
🔁 S. Hager
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Salzburg

4-2-2-2
23 Nico Mantl G
43 Rasmus Kristensen D
22 Oumar Solet D
15 André Ramalho D
17 Andreas Ulmer D
16 Zlatko Junuzović M
95 Bernardo M
11 Brenden Aaronson M
77 Noah Okafor M
8 Mergim Berisha F
27 Karim Adeyemi F
Bench (7)
1 Cican Stanković
33 Alexander Walke
25 Patrick Farkas
19 Mohamed Camara
45 Enock Mwepu
20 Patson Daka
7 Sekou Koita

Coach: J. Marsch

Tirol

4-4-2
13 Benjamin Ožegović G
24 Fabian Koch D
30 Raffael Behounek D
4 David Gugganig D
8 Renny Smith D
21 Žan Rogelj M
6 Thanos Petsos M
17 Johannes Naschberger M
7 Benjamin Pranter M
9 Nikolai Baden Frederiksen F
22 Zlatko Dedič F
Bench (7)
25 Ferdinand Oswald
34 Stefan Hager
20 Tobias Anselm
14 Julian Gölles
11 Kerber Felix
16 Florian Rieder
10 Florian Toplitsch

Coach: T. Silberberger

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

C Ciochirca · 88 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.