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Bundesliga

Referee: J Spurny

A. Klagenfurt

U S U S S

0–3

Full-time

Sturm Graz

T U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

A. Klagenfurt Sturm Graz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,5

3,3

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

1,0

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-1,0

This season — Bundesliga · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 41%

35%

47%

Points per game

1,5

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

53%

76%

Both score Ø 71%

71%

Average goals

2,9

3,5

Scored

1,5

2,0

Conceded

1,4

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

49% Possession 51%

11 Shots 10

2 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 3

2 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match A. Klagenfurt 4. · Sturm Graz 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	18	14	3	1	+30	45
2	Wolfsberger AC	18	9	4	5	+3	31
3	Sturm Graz	17	8	4	5	+8	28
4	A. Klagenfurt	17	6	7	4	+2	25
5	Ried	18	6	6	6	-10	24
6	Austria Vienna	17	4	9	4	+3	21
7	Hartberg	18	5	6	7	+0	21
8	SK Rapid	17	5	6	6	-1	21
9	Tirol	18	4	7	7	-10	19
10	LASK	17	4	5	8	-4	17
11	Admira	17	3	7	7	-3	16
12	Altach	18	3	4	11	-18	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	9	8	1	0	+22	25
2	Ried	9	5	4	0	+5	19
3	SK Rapid	9	5	1	3	+5	16
4	Wolfsberger AC	9	5	1	3	+4	16
5	Sturm Graz	9	4	3	2	+4	15
6	A. Klagenfurt	8	3	5	0	+3	14
7	Tirol	9	2	5	2	+3	11
8	Austria Vienna	8	2	5	1	+3	11
9	LASK	9	3	2	4	+0	11
10	Hartberg	9	2	3	4	-3	9
11	Admira	8	2	2	4	+2	8
12	Altach	9	1	2	6	-11	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	9	6	2	1	+8	20
2	Wolfsberger AC	9	4	3	2	-1	15
3	Sturm Graz	8	4	1	3	+4	13
4	Hartberg	9	3	3	3	+3	12
5	A. Klagenfurt	9	3	2	4	-1	11
6	Austria Vienna	9	2	4	3	+0	10
7	Admira	9	1	5	3	-5	8
8	Altach	9	2	2	5	-7	8
9	Tirol	9	2	2	5	-13	8
10	LASK	8	1	3	4	-4	6
11	SK Rapid	8	0	5	3	-6	5
12	Ried	9	1	2	6	-15	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.