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Premier League
Referee: Anthony Taylor
Tottenham
S T S S S
3–1
Full-time
Fulham
T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tottenham Fulham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,2
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,2
This season — Premier League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
2,0
0,0
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

59% Possession 41%
25 Shots 10
11 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 8
5 Corners 2
1 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tottenham 7. · Fulham 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Liverpool 1 1 0 0 +4 3
2 Chelsea 1 1 0 0 +3 3
3 Bournemouth 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Watford 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Man City 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Crystal Palace 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Tottenham 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Man United 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Wolves 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Everton 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Southampton 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Burnley 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Newcastle 2 0 1 1 -1 1
14 Cardiff 2 0 1 1 -2 1
15 Leicester 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Brighton 1 0 0 1 -2 0
17 Arsenal 1 0 0 1 -2 0
18 Fulham 1 0 0 1 -2 0
19 Huddersfield 1 0 0 1 -3 0
20 West Ham 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tottenham Fulham
1–0 Lucas Moura
43′
Half-time 1–1
52′
A. Mitrović 1–1
R. Sessegnon
M. Dembélé 🔁
↦ D. Sánchez
63′
E. Lamela 🔁
↦ E. Dier
73′
73′
🔁 S. Johansen
↦ T. Cairney
2–1 K. Trippier
74′
3–1 H. Kane
E. Lamela
77′
85′
🔁 C. Christie
↦ J. Bryan
88′
🔁 A. Schürrle
↦ A. Kamara
H. Winks 🔁
↦ H. Kane
89′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Tottenham

3-1-4-2
1 H. Lloris G
5 J. Vertonghen D
4 T. Alderweireld D
2 K. Trippier M
33 B. Davies M
6 D. Sánchez D
23 C. Eriksen M
27 Lucas Moura F
20 D. Alli M
15 E. Dier M
10 H. Kane F
Bench (7)
19 M. Dembélé
11 E. Lamela
8 H. Winks
3 D. Rose
13 M. Vorm
17 M. Sissoko
24 S. Aurier

Coach: M. Pochettino

Fulham

4-3-3
31 Fabri G
20 M. Le Marchand D
23 J. Bryan D
5 C. Chambers D
21 T. Fosu-Mensah D
10 T. Cairney M
24 J. Seri M
29 A. Zambo Anguissa
3 R. Sessegnon F
9 A. Mitrović F
47 A. Kamara F
Bench (7)
8 S. Johansen
22 C. Christie
14 A. Schürrle
6 K. McDonald
7 N. Kebano
19 L. Vietto
25 Sergio Rico

Coach: S. Jokanović

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Anthony Taylor · 162 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
18,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.