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Premier League
Referee: A Marriner
Tottenham
S U S S S
4–1
Full-time
Southampton
U T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tottenham Southampton
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,3
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
2,2
0,8
Conceded
0,3
2,5
Goal diff per game
+1,8
-1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

58% Possession 42%
18 Shots 10
8 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
10 Corners 2
2 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 6
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Tottenham Southampton
12′
J. Ward-Prowse 0–1
M. Djenepo
1–1 R. Sessegnon
D. Kulusevski
21′
Ryan Sessegnon 🟨
24′
2–1 E. Dier
Son Heung-Min
31′
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 J. Stephens
↦ Y. Valery
46′
🔁 S. Armstrong
↦ A. Armstrong
2–2 M. Salisu
own goal
61′
3–2 D. Kulusevski
Emerson
63′
I. Perišić 🔁
↦ R. Sessegnon
66′
72′
🔁 R. Perraud
↦ M. Djenepo
Rodrigo Bentancur 🟨
75′
75′
🔁 I. Diallo
↦ Oriol Romeu
Y. Bissouma 🔁
↦ R. Bentancur
86′
C. Lenglet 🔁
↦ B. Davies
86′
Lucas Moura 🔁
↦ D. Kulusevski
86′
M. Doherty 🔁
↦ Emerson
87′
Yves Bissouma 🟨
88′
92′
🔁 N. Redmond
↦ K. Walker-Peters
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Tottenham

3-4-2-1
1 H. Lloris G
17 C. Romero D
15 E. Dier D
33 B. Davies D
12 Emerson M
30 R. Bentancur M
5 P. Højbjerg M
19 R. Sessegnon M
21 D. Kulusevski F
7 Son Heung-Min F
10 H. Kane F
Bench (9)
14 I. Perišić
38 Y. Bissouma
34 C. Lenglet
27 Lucas Moura
2 M. Doherty
11 Bryan Gil
24 D. Spence
6 D. Sánchez
20 F. Forster

Coach: A. Conte

Southampton

5-3-2
31 G. Bazunu G
2 K. Walker-Peters D
43 Y. Valery D
35 J. Bednarek D
22 M. Salisu D
19 M. Djenepo D
8 J. Ward-Prowse M
45 R. Lavia M
6 Oriol Romeu M
7 J. Aribo F
9 A. Armstrong F
Bench (9)
5 J. Stephens
17 S. Armstrong
15 R. Perraud
27 I. Diallo
11 N. Redmond
10 C. Adams
24 M. Elyounoussi
37 A. Bella-Kotchap
1 A. McCarthy

Coach: R. Hasenhüttl

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,36
U
5,27
B
8,64
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,61
U2,5
2,34
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Marriner · 74 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.