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Bundesliga
Referee: J Weinberger
St. Polten
U T S U T
2–2
Full-time
Admira
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Polten Admira
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
4,0
2,8
Scored
1,5
0,5
Conceded
2,5
2,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,8
This season — Bundesliga · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 79%
75%
83%
Both score Ø 46%
42%
50%
Average goals
3,8
3,8
Scored
1,9
1,0
Conceded
1,9
2,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

52% Possession 48%
8 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 9
0 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St. Polten 7. · Admira 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 SK Rapid 13 8 3 2 +12 27
2 Salzburg 12 8 1 3 +24 25
3 Sturm Graz 13 7 4 2 +14 25
4 LASK 12 7 3 2 +14 24
5 Tirol 12 5 2 5 +1 17
6 Wolfsberger AC 12 5 2 5 -2 17
7 St. Polten 12 4 3 5 +0 15
8 Hartberg 12 3 5 4 -9 14
9 Ried 12 4 1 7 -11 13
10 Austria Vienna 12 2 5 5 -6 11
11 Altach 12 2 2 8 -16 8
12 Admira 12 2 1 9 -21 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St. Polten Admira
8′
M. Breunig 0–1
M. Ostrzolek
1–1 A. Schmidt
G. Davies
25′
2–1 A. Schmidt
R. Ljubičić
44′
Half-time 2–1
D. Schütz 🔁
↦ D. Luxbacher
46′
59′
🔁 A. Wooten
↦ T. Tomić
59′
🔁 L. Kronberger
↦ D. Starkl
59′
R. Kerschbaum 2–2
M. Tanzmayr 🔁
↦ G. Davies
60′
67′
🔁 M. Hausjell
↦ E. Hoffer
79′
🟨 Marcus Maier
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

St. Polten

4-3-3
1 C. Riegler G
21 K. Schulz D
14 M. Blauensteiner D
3 Luan D
17 A. Muhamedbegovic D
10 D. Luxbacher M
11 G. Davies F
6 P. Pokorný M
39 R. Ljubičić M
19 D. Hugi F
9 A. Schmidt F
Bench (7)
20 D. Schütz
12 M. Tanzmayr
7 N. Meister
4 M. Steinwender
29 D. Drescher
13 A. Gremsl
8 R. Asadi

Coach: R. Ibertsberger

Admira

4-1-4-1
1 A. Leitner G
84 M. Ostrzolek D
2 S. Auer M
23 P. Petlach D
27 E. Aiwu D
90 T. Tomić M
8 R. Kerschbaum M
22 M. Maier D
16 E. Hoffer M
7 D. Starkl M
10 M. Breunig F
Bench (7)
99 A. Wooten
63 L. Kronberger
24 M. Hausjell
12 L. Malicsek
20 M. Kadlec
4 S. Bauer
28 O. Hadžikić

Coach: D. Burić

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Weinberger · 114 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.